Finn Harps 3-1 Bray Wanderers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ireland - FAI Cup, 15 Aug 2025

📅15/08/2025 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.8
Draw
26%
3.18
Away
37%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.78
Over 2.5
46%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.76
No
50%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
31%
2.86
2-3 Goals
41%
1.7
4-5 Goals
20%
3.59
6+ Goals
8%
15.45
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.86 — our 31% vs market 27.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
7%
1/X
10%
X/1
10%
X/2
14%
X/X
9%
2/1
6%
2/2
15%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
32%
+5.3pp
26%
Draw
28%
-1.4pp
37%
Away Win
40%
-3.9pp
54%
Under 2.5
52%
+1.3pp
46%
Over 2.5
48%
-1.3pp
50%
BTTS Yes
53%
-2.6pp
50%
BTTS No
47%
+2.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Finn Harps EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Bray Wanderers EU Bookmakers 45%
+31% / +31% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -58% / -58%
2.62/0.61 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.00/1.00
+43% / +59% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / +99%
46% Ball Possession 54%
9 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
199 · 61% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 258 · 69%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.5 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Finn Harps
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Bray Wanderers
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
52% Ball Possession 48%
9 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 2
04.08.2025 Finn Harps Finn Harps 2-2 HT 1-0 Bray Wanderers Bray Wanderers İR1
30.05.2025 Bray Wanderers Bray Wanderers 3-1 HT 2-1 Finn Harps Finn Harps İR1
21.03.2025 Finn Harps Finn Harps 5-0 HT 3-0 Bray Wanderers Bray Wanderers İR1
11.10.2024 Bray Wanderers Bray Wanderers 2-2 HT 0-1 Finn Harps Finn Harps İR1
02.08.2024 Finn Harps Finn Harps 1-2 HT 1-1 Bray Wanderers Bray Wanderers İR1
06.05.2024 Bray Wanderers Bray Wanderers 1-0 HT 1-0 Finn Harps Finn Harps İR1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Finn Harps
3-1
AWAY Bray Wanderers
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 4
6 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Finn Harps vs Bray Wanderers
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Finn Harps beat Bray Wanderers 3-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 26% / 37% — and on the day Finn Harps made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Finn Harps had 53% of the ball to Bray Wanderers's 47%, shots finished 12-12.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Bray Wanderers led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Finn Harps and 1.67 for Bray Wanderers.

What was the final score of Finn Harps vs Bray Wanderers?

Finn Harps 3-1 Bray Wanderers in the Ireland - FAI Cup on 15/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Finn Harps vs Bray Wanderers?

Before kick-off our model rated a Finn Harps win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Finn Harps 37%, draw 26%, Bray Wanderers 37%. The final score 3-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (37/26/37) ✗ Under 2.5
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