Bray Wanderers 3-1 Finn Harps — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ireland - 1st Division, 30 May 2025

📅30/05/2025 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
56%
1.64
Draw
27%
3.72
Away
17%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.07
Over 2.5
57%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.73
No
43%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
3.77
2-3 Goals
35%
1.81
4-5 Goals EV+ ✓
32%
3.03
6+ Goals
10%
9.81
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.03 — our 32% vs market 26.5%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
18%
X/2
5%
X/X
9%
2/1
8%
2/2
5%
2/X
12%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
56%
Home Win
57%
-0.3pp
26%
Draw
24%
+3.0pp
17%
Away Win
20%
-2.8pp
43%
Under 2.5
44%
-1.4pp
57%
Over 2.5
56%
+1.4pp
57%
BTTS Yes
54%
+2.7pp
43%
BTTS No
46%
-2.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bray Wanderers EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Finn Harps EU Bookmakers 23%
-12% / -24% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / -11%
1.47/0.96 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.11/1.74
-15% / +4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +9% / -8%
52% Ball Possession 48%
15 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
342 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 289 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.6 Yellow Cards 3.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bray Wanderers
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Finn Harps
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
47% Ball Possession 53%
8 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 3
21.03.2025 Finn Harps Finn Harps 5-0 HT 3-0 Bray Wanderers Bray Wanderers İR1
11.10.2024 Bray Wanderers Bray Wanderers 2-2 HT 0-1 Finn Harps Finn Harps İR1
02.08.2024 Finn Harps Finn Harps 1-2 HT 1-1 Bray Wanderers Bray Wanderers İR1
06.05.2024 Bray Wanderers Bray Wanderers 1-0 HT 1-0 Finn Harps Finn Harps İR1
01.04.2024 Finn Harps Finn Harps 2-0 HT 1-0 Bray Wanderers Bray Wanderers İR1
20.10.2023 Bray Wanderers Bray Wanderers 1-1 HT 0-1 Finn Harps Finn Harps İR1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Bray Wanderers
3-1
AWAY Finn Harps
60% Ball Possession 40%
20 Total Shots 6
11 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Bray Wanderers vs Finn Harps
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bray Wanderers beat Finn Harps 3-1. Half-time: 2-1.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Bray Wanderers as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (57%), both teams to score (57%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Bray Wanderers had 60% of the ball to Finn Harps's 40%, shots finished 20-6.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Bray Wanderers and 1.83 for Finn Harps.

What was the final score of Bray Wanderers vs Finn Harps?

Bray Wanderers 3-1 Finn Harps in the Ireland - 1st Division on 30/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bray Wanderers vs Finn Harps?

Before kick-off our model rated a Bray Wanderers win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Bray Wanderers 56%, draw 26%, Finn Harps 17%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Bray Wanderers), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Bray Wanderers) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İR1 More Ireland - 1st Division
30 May 2025
21:45 Cobh Ramblers vs Treaty United Analysis →
21:45 Univ College Dublin vs Athlone Town Analysis →
21:45 Kerry vs Longford Town Analysis →
22:00 Wexford Youths vs Dundalk Analysis →