Wexford Youths 2-3 Dundalk — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ireland - 1st Division, 30 May 2025

📅30/05/2025 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
24%
4.48
Draw
31%
3.8
Away
45%
1.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
2.0
Over 2.5
43%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.81
No
56%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
33%
3.52
2-3 Goals
40%
1.79
4-5 Goals
19%
3.17
6+ Goals
8%
11.0
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.52 — our 33% vs market 22.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
8%
1/X
10%
X/1
9%
X/2
19%
X/X
12%
2/1
5%
2/2
18%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
24%
Home Win
19%
+5.1pp
31%
Draw
23%
+7.5pp
45%
Away Win
58%
-12.6pp
57%
Under 2.5
46%
+10.6pp
43%
Over 2.5
54%
-10.6pp
44%
BTTS Yes
51%
-6.8pp
56%
BTTS No
49%
+6.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Wexford Youths EU Bookmakers 22%
Head to Head
AWAY Dundalk EU Bookmakers 62%
-2% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +3%
0.90/1.96 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.80/0.21
-24% / -16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -58% / +150%
43% Ball Possession 57%
8 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 6
285 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 354 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Wexford Youths
0W-0D-6L
AWAY Dundalk
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 2.83
44% Ball Possession 56%
7 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 8
1 Yellow Cards 1
28.03.2025 Dundalk Dundalk 3-0 HT 0-0 Wexford Youths Wexford Youths İR1
26.08.2022 Wexford Youths Wexford Youths 2-3 HT 0-1 Dundalk Dundalk İRK
26.08.2016 Wexford Youths Wexford Youths 0-1 HT 0-1 Dundalk Dundalk İRL
29.05.2016 Dundalk Dundalk 3-2 HT 1-1 Wexford Youths Wexford Youths İRL
14.03.2016 Wexford Youths Wexford Youths 1-2 HT 0-1 Dundalk Dundalk İRL
04.08.2014 Dundalk Dundalk 5-0 HT 2-0 Wexford Youths Wexford Youths İRLK
POST-MATCH Wexford Youths vs Dundalk
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dundalk edged past Wexford Youths 3-2 away from home. It was 2-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Dundalk as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Dundalk led the recent series with 6 wins. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Wexford Youths and 2.83 for Dundalk.

What was the final score of Wexford Youths vs Dundalk?

Wexford Youths 2-3 Dundalk in the Ireland - 1st Division on 30/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Wexford Youths vs Dundalk?

Before kick-off our model rated an Dundalk win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Wexford Youths 24%, draw 31%, Dundalk 45%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Dundalk) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Dundalk) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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