Univ College Dublin 2-0 Athlone Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ireland - 1st Division, 30 May 2025

📅30/05/2025 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
1.82
Draw
28%
3.35
Away
34%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.74
Over 2.5
45%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.9
No
49%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
31%
2.76
2-3 Goals
40%
1.74
4-5 Goals
20%
3.89
6+ Goals
9%
17.95
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.76 — our 31% vs market 29.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
8%
1/X
13%
X/1
13%
X/2
15%
X/X
10%
2/1
8%
2/2
11%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
51%
-12.9pp
28%
Draw
26%
+1.4pp
34%
Away Win
23%
+11.5pp
55%
Under 2.5
54%
+1.5pp
45%
Over 2.5
46%
-1.5pp
51%
BTTS Yes
49%
+2.6pp
49%
BTTS No
51%
-2.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Univ College Dublin EU Bookmakers 55%
Head to Head
AWAY Athlone Town EU Bookmakers 26%
-12% / -15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / +8%
1.30/1.06 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.03/1.42
-23% / +3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -8% / +3%
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
336 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 318 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards 3.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Univ College Dublin
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Athlone Town
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
62% Ball Possession 38%
7 Total Shots 5
4 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 3
14.03.2025 Athlone Town Athlone Town 2-1 HT 1-0 Univ College Dublin Univ College Dublin İR1
23.09.2024 Athlone Town Athlone Town 1-0 HT 1-0 Univ College Dublin Univ College Dublin İR1
04.07.2024 Univ College Dublin Univ College Dublin 1-2 HT 0-1 Athlone Town Athlone Town İR1
24.05.2024 Athlone Town Athlone Town 2-2 HT 2-1 Univ College Dublin Univ College Dublin İR1
15.03.2024 Univ College Dublin Univ College Dublin 3-0 HT 2-0 Athlone Town Athlone Town İR1
13.08.2021 Univ College Dublin Univ College Dublin 6-0 HT 2-0 Athlone Town Athlone Town İR1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Univ College Dublin
2-0
AWAY Athlone Town
44% Ball Possession 56%
19 Total Shots 12
7 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Univ College Dublin vs Athlone Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Univ College Dublin got the better of Athlone Town 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (38% / 28% / 34%) promised a tight game; Univ College Dublin found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Univ College Dublin had 44% of the ball to Athlone Town's 56%, shots finished 19-12.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Athlone Town led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Univ College Dublin and 1.17 for Athlone Town.

What was the final score of Univ College Dublin vs Athlone Town?

Univ College Dublin 2-0 Athlone Town in the Ireland - 1st Division on 30/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Univ College Dublin vs Athlone Town?

Before kick-off our model rated a Univ College Dublin win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Univ College Dublin 38%, draw 28%, Athlone Town 34%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Univ College Dublin), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Univ College Dublin) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İR1 More Ireland - 1st Division
30 May 2025
21:45 Cobh Ramblers vs Treaty United Analysis →
21:45 Bray Wanderers vs Finn Harps Analysis →
21:45 Kerry vs Longford Town Analysis →
22:00 Wexford Youths vs Dundalk Analysis →