Kerry 2-0 Longford Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ireland - 1st Division, 30 May 2025

📅30/05/2025 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.8
Draw
28%
3.54
Away
28%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.91
Over 2.5
47%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.76
No
54%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
3.29
2-3 Goals
40%
1.77
4-5 Goals
23%
3.33
6+ Goals
8%
12.45
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.29 — our 29% vs market 24.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
17%
X/2
8%
X/X
15%
2/1
8%
2/2
15%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
52%
-8.1pp
28%
Draw
25%
+2.6pp
29%
Away Win
23%
+5.5pp
53%
Under 2.5
48%
+4.4pp
47%
Over 2.5
52%
-4.4pp
46%
BTTS Yes
53%
-7.2pp
54%
BTTS No
47%
+7.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kerry EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Longford Town EU Bookmakers 26%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -31%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -7% / -26%
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
409 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 270 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kerry
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Longford Town
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
15.03.2025 Longford Town Longford Town 3-2 HT 1-2 Kerry İR1
24.08.2024 Longford Town Longford Town 2-2 HT 1-1 Kerry İR1
13.06.2024 Kerry 2-1 HT 1-1 Longford Town Longford Town İR1
06.05.2024 Longford Town Longford Town 2-1 HT 2-0 Kerry İR1
05.04.2024 Kerry 3-0 HT 2-0 Longford Town Longford Town İR1
08.09.2023 Kerry 0-0 HT 0-0 Longford Town Longford Town İR1
POST-MATCH Kerry vs Longford Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kerry saw off Longford Town 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Kerry as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Kerry and 1.33 for Longford Town.

What was the final score of Kerry vs Longford Town?

Kerry 2-0 Longford Town in the Ireland - 1st Division on 30/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kerry vs Longford Town?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kerry win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Kerry 44%, draw 28%, Longford Town 29%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Kerry), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Kerry) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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