Longford Town 2-2 Kerry — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ireland - 1st Division, 24 Aug 2024

📅24/08/2024 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.57
Draw
24%
3.18
Away
39%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.8
Over 2.5
46%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.75
No
51%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
3.09
2-3 Goals
40%
1.78
4-5 Goals
24%
3.79
6+ Goals
9%
16.3
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
12%
X/2
16%
X/X
10%
2/1
8%
2/2
18%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
35%
+1.9pp
24%
Draw
28%
-4.3pp
39%
Away Win
37%
+2.3pp
54%
Under 2.5
52%
+2.0pp
46%
Over 2.5
48%
-2.0pp
49%
BTTS Yes
53%
-3.7pp
51%
BTTS No
47%
+3.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Longford Town EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Kerry EU Bookmakers 40%
-12% / -22% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -45% / -45%
1.11/1.47 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/2.00
-12% / -9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -27% / -36%
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
280 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 286 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 4.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Longford Town
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Kerry
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
48% Ball Possession 52%
9 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
13.06.2024 Kerry 2-1 HT 1-1 Longford Town Longford Town İR1
06.05.2024 Longford Town Longford Town 2-1 HT 2-0 Kerry İR1
05.04.2024 Kerry 3-0 HT 2-0 Longford Town Longford Town İR1
08.09.2023 Kerry 0-0 HT 0-0 Longford Town Longford Town İR1
15.07.2023 Longford Town Longford Town 2-1 HT 1-0 Kerry İR1
01.04.2023 Longford Town Longford Town 2-0 HT 1-0 Kerry İR1
POST-MATCH Longford Town vs Kerry
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Longford Town and Kerry couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 1-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 24% / 39% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Longford Town had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Longford Town and 1.17 for Kerry.

What was the final score of Longford Town vs Kerry?

Longford Town 2-2 Kerry in the Ireland - 1st Division on 24/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Longford Town vs Kerry?

Before kick-off our model rated an Kerry win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Longford Town 37%, draw 24%, Kerry 39%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Kerry) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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