OH Leuven 1-2 Genk — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belgium - Pro League, 15 Aug 2025

📅15/08/2025 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
3.87
Draw
18%
3.72
Away
50%
1.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
37%
2.07
Over 2.5
63%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
61%
1.68
No
39%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
3.84
2-3 Goals
37%
1.81
4-5 Goals
32%
2.98
6+ Goals
11%
9.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
7.04
1/2
7%
21.3
1/X
5%
15.0
X/1 EV+ ✗
13%
9.33
X/2
15%
4.32
X/X
5%
5.49
2/1
5%
34.5
2/2
29%
2.16
2/X
7%
13.65
Value flag · X/1 at 9.33 — our 13% vs market 7.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
22%
+9.7pp
18%
Draw
23%
-5.6pp
50%
Away Win
54%
-4.1pp
37%
Under 2.5
44%
-7.1pp
63%
Over 2.5
56%
+7.1pp
61%
BTTS Yes
56%
+5.9pp
39%
BTTS No
44%
-5.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME OH Leuven EU Bookmakers 26%
Head to Head
AWAY Genk EU Bookmakers 58%
+1% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -21%
1.34/1.52 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.64/1.42
-31% / +22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +3% / -25%
45% Ball Possession 55%
11 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
243 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 349 · 77%
20.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 27.7
15.4 Crosses 19.6
2.3 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME OH Leuven
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Genk
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.46 xG 2.35
44% Ball Possession 56%
12 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
276 Passes 365
77% Pass Accuracy 84%
22 Box Touches 36
17 Crosses 20
3 Yellow Cards 3
11.01.2025 Genk Genk 2-0 HT 0-0 OH Leuven OH Leuven BEL
03.08.2024 OH Leuven OH Leuven 3-1 HT 2-0 Genk Genk BEL
31.01.2024 OH Leuven OH Leuven 2-1 HT 0-0 Genk Genk BEL
12.11.2023 Genk Genk 3-1 HT 1-0 OH Leuven OH Leuven BEL
02.04.2023 Genk Genk 2-1 HT 1-0 OH Leuven OH Leuven BEL
15.10.2022 OH Leuven OH Leuven 0-1 HT 0-1 Genk Genk BEL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME OH Leuven
1-2
AWAY Genk
46% Ball Possession 54%
22 Total Shots 15
8 Shots on Target 7
6 Corners 6
POST-MATCH OH Leuven vs Genk
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Genk nicked a narrow win over OH Leuven 2-1 away from home.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Genk as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (63%), both teams to score (61%) came in.

On the day, OH Leuven had 46% of the ball to Genk's 54%, shots finished 22-15.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Genk led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for OH Leuven and 1.67 for Genk.

What was the final score of OH Leuven vs Genk?

OH Leuven 1-2 Genk in the Belgium - Pro League on 15/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for OH Leuven vs Genk?

Before kick-off our model rated an Genk win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split OH Leuven 32%, draw 18%, Genk 50%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Genk), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Genk) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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