Ponte Preta vs Nautico Prediction — Model Probabilities
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Ponte Preta v Nautico — Team-Based Signals
Ponte Preta vs Nautico Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-1
HT 0-0
Ponte Preta
BR2
1-0
HT 0-0
Nautico
BR2
2-3
HT 2-1
Nautico
BR2
1-1
HT 0-1
Ponte Preta
BR2
2-0
HT 2-0
Nautico
BR2
Ponte Preta 1-1 Nautico — Actual Match Statistics
Ponte Preta and Nautico couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.
Our pre-match lean was Nautico at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.
On the day, shots finished 13-14, expected goals 1.15 to 2.08.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Ponte Preta had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Ponte Preta and 0.83 for Nautico.
What was the final score of Ponte Preta vs Nautico?
Ponte Preta 1-1 Nautico in the Brazil - Serie B on 15/08/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Ponte Preta vs Nautico?
Before kick-off our model rated an Nautico win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Ponte Preta 32%, draw 27%, Nautico 41%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Nautico) went the other way.