Sao Bernardo FC 0-1 Botafogo SP — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Serie B, 15 Aug 2026

Sao Bernardo FC
0-1 HT 0-0
Botafogo SP
📅15/08/2026 · 🕒01:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Brazil - Serie B – 2026

Sao Bernardo FC vs Botafogo SP Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
2.33
Draw
27%
2.94
Away
28%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.52
Over 2.5
43%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.99
No
56%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2.21
2-3 Goals
39%
1.74
4-5 Goals
18%
5.03
6+ Goals
7%
31.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
5%
1/X
4%
X/1
17%
X/2
7%
X/X
17%
2/1
7%
2/2
16%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our call
Under 2.5 — 57% ✓
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Under 2.5 — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
39%
+5.6pp
28%
Draw
30%
-2.8pp
28%
Away Win
30%
-2.6pp
57%
Under 2.5
62%
-4.5pp
43%
Over 2.5
38%
+4.5pp
44%
BTTS Yes
46%
-1.8pp
56%
BTTS No
54%
+1.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Sao Bernardo FC v Botafogo SP — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sao Bernardo FC EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Botafogo SP EU Bookmakers 34%
-5% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -12% / -11%
1.35/1.01 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.76/0.81
-4% / +9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -25% / +8%
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
298 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 331 · 80%
15.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.9
18.2 Crosses 20.2
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.9

Sao Bernardo FC vs Botafogo SP Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sao Bernardo FC
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Botafogo SP
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.19 xG 0.89
58% Ball Possession 42%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 5
374 Passes 233
80% Pass Accuracy 70%
15 Box Touches 15
19 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 4
The Meetings
06.04.2026 Botafogo SP Botafogo SP 1-2 HT 1-0 Sao Bernardo FC Sao Bernardo FC BR2
19.02.2023 Sao Bernardo FC Sao Bernardo FC 2-1 HT 0-1 Botafogo SP Botafogo SP BREPAU
28.02.2022 Botafogo SP Botafogo SP 1-0 HT 1-0 Sao Bernardo FC Sao Bernardo FC BREPAU
11.02.2016 Botafogo SP Botafogo SP 1-1 HT 1-0 Sao Bernardo FC Sao Bernardo FC BREPAU
28.03.2015 Sao Bernardo FC Sao Bernardo FC 1-0 HT 0-0 Botafogo SP Botafogo SP BRPL1
18.01.2014 Sao Bernardo FC Sao Bernardo FC 1-0 HT 1-0 Botafogo SP Botafogo SP BRPL1

Sao Bernardo FC 0-1 Botafogo SP — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sao Bernardo FC
0-1
AWAY Botafogo SP
0.78 xG 1.60
15 Total Shots 18
3 Shots on Target 3
12 Corners 11
404 Passes 195
17 Box Touches 26
27 Crosses 30
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Sao Bernardo FC vs Botafogo SP
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Botafogo SP squeezed past Sao Bernardo FC 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Sao Bernardo FC at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (56%) came in.

On the day, shots finished 15-18, expected goals 0.78 to 1.60.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sao Bernardo FC had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Sao Bernardo FC and 0.67 for Botafogo SP.

What was the final score of Sao Bernardo FC vs Botafogo SP?

Sao Bernardo FC 0-1 Botafogo SP in the Brazil - Serie B on 15/08/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sao Bernardo FC vs Botafogo SP?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sao Bernardo FC win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Sao Bernardo FC 45%, draw 28%, Botafogo SP 28%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Sao Bernardo FC) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Sao Bernardo FC) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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