Sport Recife 2-1 Londrina — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Serie B, 15 Aug 2026

📅15/08/2026 · 🕒02:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.66
Draw
27%
3.54
Away
19%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.82
Over 2.5
49%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.88
No
49%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
3.08
2-3 Goals
41%
1.74
4-5 Goals
22%
3.48
6+ Goals
10%
13.95
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.08 — our 27% vs market 25.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
18%
X/2
9%
X/X
15%
2/1
9%
2/2
6%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Sport Recife win — 54%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Under 2.5 — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
56%
-2.4pp
27%
Draw
25%
+1.4pp
19%
Away Win
18%
+1.0pp
51%
Under 2.5
51%
-0.2pp
49%
Over 2.5
49%
+0.2pp
51%
BTTS Yes
49%
+1.5pp
49%
BTTS No
51%
-1.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sport Recife EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY Londrina EU Bookmakers 21%
+0% / -16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / -4%
1.55/1.19 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.97/1.49
+10% / -18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +12% / -1%
53% Ball Possession 47%
15 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
342 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 304 · 78%
21.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.9
22.1 Crosses 16.7
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sport Recife
5W-0D-1L
AWAY Londrina
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.57 xG 0.79
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
336 Passes 288
80% Pass Accuracy 77%
17 Box Touches 13
17 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
05.04.2026 Londrina Londrina 1-2 HT 1-0 Sport Recife Sport Recife BR2
24.09.2023 Sport Recife Sport Recife 4-0 HT 1-0 Londrina Londrina BR2
05.06.2023 Londrina Londrina 1-2 HT 1-0 Sport Recife Sport Recife BR2
22.10.2022 Londrina Londrina 2-1 HT 0-1 Sport Recife Sport Recife BR2
09.07.2022 Sport Recife Sport Recife 2-0 HT 1-0 Londrina Londrina BR2
25.09.2019 Londrina Londrina 1-2 HT 1-1 Sport Recife Sport Recife BR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sport Recife
2-1
AWAY Londrina
1.04 xG 0.95
12 Total Shots 17
4 Shots on Target 4
1 Corners 3
391 Passes 355
20 Box Touches 23
11 Crosses 23
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Sport Recife vs Londrina
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sport Recife edged past Londrina 2-1.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Sport Recife as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, shots finished 12-17, expected goals 1.04 to 0.95.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sport Recife had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Sport Recife and 0.83 for Londrina.

What was the final score of Sport Recife vs Londrina?

Sport Recife 2-1 Londrina in the Brazil - Serie B on 15/08/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sport Recife vs Londrina?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sport Recife win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Sport Recife 54%, draw 27%, Londrina 19%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sport Recife), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Sport Recife) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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