FC Seoul 4-2 Daejeon Citizen — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K League Classic, 15 Aug 2026

📅15/08/2026 · 🕒13:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
2.25
Draw
27%
3.28
Away
27%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
54%
1.9
Over
46%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.68
No
50%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1
31%
3.26
2-3
41%
1.77
4-5
19%
3.44
6+
9%
13.35
Value flag · 0-1 at 3.26 — our 31% vs market 24.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
3.36
1/2
5%
30.5
1/X
10%
12.6
X/1
20%
5.38
X/2
7%
6.33
X/X
12%
4.58
2/1
11%
27.0
2/2
14%
4.33
2/X
6%
12.9
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 54%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Under 2.5 — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
41%
+5.2pp
27%
Draw
27%
+0.2pp
27%
Away Win
32%
-5.5pp
54%
Under 2.5
49%
+5.4pp
46%
Over 2.5
51%
-5.4pp
50%
BTTS Yes
56%
-5.9pp
50%
BTTS No
44%
+5.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FC Seoul EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Daejeon Citizen EU Bookmakers 36%
+6% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / -4%
1.50/0.82 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.44/1.42
+17% / +34% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +21% / -13%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
408 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 302 · 76%
22.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
19.2 Crosses 15.4
1.6 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FC Seoul
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Daejeon Citizen
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
52% Ball Possession 48%
15 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
338 Passes 300
80% Pass Accuracy 77%
19 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 2
16.05.2026 Daejeon Citizen Daejeon Citizen 1-2 HT 0-1 FC Seoul FC Seoul GKOR
18.04.2026 FC Seoul FC Seoul 0-1 HT 0-1 Daejeon Citizen Daejeon Citizen GKOR
01.11.2025 Daejeon Citizen Daejeon Citizen 3-1 HT 0-0 FC Seoul FC Seoul GKOR
27.07.2025 Daejeon Citizen Daejeon Citizen 0-1 HT 0-0 FC Seoul FC Seoul GKOR
10.05.2025 Daejeon Citizen Daejeon Citizen 0-0 HT 0-0 FC Seoul FC Seoul GKOR
12.04.2025 FC Seoul FC Seoul 2-2 HT 0-2 Daejeon Citizen Daejeon Citizen GKOR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FC Seoul
4-2
AWAY Daejeon Citizen
15 Total Shots 14
7 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 8
4 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH FC Seoul vs Daejeon Citizen
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FC Seoul saw off Daejeon Citizen 4-2. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had FC Seoul as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 4-2 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, shots finished 15-14.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for FC Seoul and 1.17 for Daejeon Citizen.

What was the final score of FC Seoul vs Daejeon Citizen?

FC Seoul 4-2 Daejeon Citizen in the South Kore - K League Classic on 15/08/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FC Seoul vs Daejeon Citizen?

Before kick-off our model rated a FC Seoul win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split FC Seoul 46%, draw 27%, Daejeon Citizen 27%. The final score 4-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (FC Seoul) — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (FC Seoul) ✗ Under 2.5
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GKOR More South Kore - K League Classic
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