Gwangju 1-2 Pohang Steelers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K League Classic, 15 Aug 2026

📅15/08/2026 · 🕒13:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
25%
3.08
Draw
27%
3.04
Away
48%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
53%
1.54
Over
47%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.99
No
48%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1
29%
2.33
2-3
40%
1.76
4-5
22%
4.91
6+
9%
29.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
5.2
1/2
14%
32.0
1/X
6%
14.55
X/1
7%
6.45
X/2
12%
4.81
X/X
14%
3.78
2/1
5%
34.5
2/2
22%
3.31
2/X
7%
13.95
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 53%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Under 2.5 BTTS Yes — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
25%
Home Win
29%
-4.0pp
27%
Draw
30%
-2.4pp
47%
Away Win
41%
+6.4pp
53%
Under 2.5
61%
-8.2pp
47%
Over 2.5
39%
+8.2pp
52%
BTTS Yes
46%
+5.6pp
48%
BTTS No
54%
-5.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gwangju EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Pohang Steelers EU Bookmakers 45%
+1% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +4%
1.47/0.98 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.34/0.75
-8% / +27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / +5%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
325 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 338 · 78%
10.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 34.0
15.1 Crosses 17.2
1.6 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gwangju
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Pohang Steelers
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
49% Ball Possession 51%
8 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
348 Passes 371
82% Pass Accuracy 82%
11 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 2
11.07.2026 Gwangju Gwangju 0-3 HT 0-1 Pohang Steelers Pohang Steelers GKOR
22.04.2026 Pohang Steelers Pohang Steelers 1-0 HT 1-0 Gwangju Gwangju GKOR
10.08.2025 Pohang Steelers Pohang Steelers 1-0 HT 1-0 Gwangju Gwangju GKOR
18.05.2025 Pohang Steelers Pohang Steelers 0-1 HT 0-0 Gwangju Gwangju GKOR
22.03.2025 Gwangju Gwangju 2-3 HT 1-1 Pohang Steelers Pohang Steelers GKOR
13.09.2024 Gwangju Gwangju 2-1 HT 0-0 Pohang Steelers Pohang Steelers GKOR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Gwangju
1-2
AWAY Pohang Steelers
22 Total Shots 5
10 Shots on Target 2
9 Corners 1
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Gwangju vs Pohang Steelers
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Pohang Steelers edged past Gwangju 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Pohang Steelers as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, shots finished 22-5.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Pohang Steelers led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Gwangju and 1.50 for Pohang Steelers.

What was the final score of Gwangju vs Pohang Steelers?

Gwangju 1-2 Pohang Steelers in the South Kore - K League Classic on 15/08/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gwangju vs Pohang Steelers?

Before kick-off our model rated an Pohang Steelers win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Gwangju 25%, draw 27%, Pohang Steelers 47%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Pohang Steelers), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Pohang Steelers) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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