Pohang Steelers 1-0 Gwangju — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K League Classic, 22 Apr 2026

📅22/04/2026 · 🕒13:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
65%
1.53
Draw
20%
3.64
Away
15%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.59
Over 2.5
48%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.4
No
56%
1.5
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2.37
2-3 Goals
35%
1.74
4-5 Goals
22%
4.67
6+ Goals
9%
26.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1.95
1/2
3%
34.0
1/X
3%
17.9
X/1 EV+ ✗
32%
3.64
X/2
7%
11.9
X/X
11%
4.43
2/1
5%
29.5
2/2
6%
11.45
2/X
5%
20.7
Value flag · X/1 at 3.64 — our 32% vs market 21.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
65%
Home Win
61%
+3.7pp
20%
Draw
24%
-4.2pp
15%
Away Win
15%
+0.4pp
52%
Under 2.5
59%
-7.4pp
48%
Over 2.5
41%
+7.4pp
44%
BTTS Yes
38%
+6.3pp
56%
BTTS No
62%
-6.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Pohang Steelers EU Bookmakers 66%
Head to Head
AWAY Gwangju EU Bookmakers 18%
-3% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +12% / +13%
1.50/1.19 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.66/1.93
-18% / -5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -41% / -19%
59% Ball Possession 41%
19 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 3
399 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 260 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
17.8 Crosses 12.9
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Pohang Steelers
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Gwangju
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 4
341 Passes 391
81% Pass Accuracy 84%
17 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 3
10.08.2025 Pohang Steelers Pohang Steelers 1-0 HT 1-0 Gwangju Gwangju GKOR
18.05.2025 Pohang Steelers Pohang Steelers 0-1 HT 0-0 Gwangju Gwangju GKOR
22.03.2025 Gwangju Gwangju 2-3 HT 1-1 Pohang Steelers Pohang Steelers GKOR
13.09.2024 Gwangju Gwangju 2-1 HT 0-0 Pohang Steelers Pohang Steelers GKOR
28.05.2024 Gwangju Gwangju 0-1 HT 0-1 Pohang Steelers Pohang Steelers GKOK
17.03.2024 Pohang Steelers Pohang Steelers 1-0 HT 0-0 Gwangju Gwangju GKOK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Pohang Steelers
1-0
AWAY Gwangju
59% Ball Possession 41%
7 Total Shots 5
2 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 2
431 Passes 286
84% Pass Accuracy 79%
16 Crosses 6
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Pohang Steelers vs Gwangju
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Pohang Steelers nicked a narrow win over Gwangju 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Pohang Steelers as the likeliest winner at 65%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged no to both teams scoring (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Pohang Steelers had 59% of the ball to Gwangju's 41%, shots finished 7-5.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Pohang Steelers had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Pohang Steelers and 0.83 for Gwangju.

What was the final score of Pohang Steelers vs Gwangju?

Pohang Steelers 1-0 Gwangju in the South Kore - K League Classic on 22/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Pohang Steelers vs Gwangju?

Before kick-off our model rated a Pohang Steelers win the most likely single outcome at about 65%, with the full match-result split Pohang Steelers 65%, draw 20%, Gwangju 15%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Pohang Steelers), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Pohang Steelers) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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