Gwangju 0-3 Pohang Steelers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K League Classic, 11 Jul 2026

📅11/07/2026 · 🕒13:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
22%
4.65
Draw
33%
3.35
Away
45%
1.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.59
Over 2.5
41%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
2.16
No
49%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2.38
2-3 Goals
42%
1.74
4-5 Goals
16%
4.63
6+ Goals
9%
26.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
8.76
1/2
9%
28.5
1/X EV+ ✗
14%
17.6
X/1
6%
9.62
X/2
23%
3.9
X/X
13%
4.17
2/1
3%
34.0
2/2
14%
2.23
2/X
5%
15.65
Value flag · 1/X at 17.6 — our 14% vs market 3.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
22%
Home Win
19%
+3.7pp
32%
Draw
27%
+5.7pp
45%
Away Win
55%
-9.4pp
59%
Under 2.5
59%
-0.1pp
41%
Over 2.5
41%
+0.1pp
51%
BTTS Yes
42%
+8.9pp
49%
BTTS No
58%
-8.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gwangju EU Bookmakers 22%
Head to Head
AWAY Pohang Steelers EU Bookmakers 58%
-17% / -17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +2%
0.98/1.86 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/0.59
-5% / -36% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -28% / +71%
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 7
242 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 419 · 84%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
19.7 Crosses 14.0
2.3 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gwangju
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Pohang Steelers
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
52% Ball Possession 48%
9 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
367 Passes 346
83% Pass Accuracy 81%
11 Crosses 17
3 Yellow Cards 2
22.04.2026 Pohang Steelers Pohang Steelers 1-0 HT 1-0 Gwangju Gwangju GKOR
10.08.2025 Pohang Steelers Pohang Steelers 1-0 HT 1-0 Gwangju Gwangju GKOR
18.05.2025 Pohang Steelers Pohang Steelers 0-1 HT 0-0 Gwangju Gwangju GKOR
22.03.2025 Gwangju Gwangju 2-3 HT 1-1 Pohang Steelers Pohang Steelers GKOR
13.09.2024 Gwangju Gwangju 2-1 HT 0-0 Pohang Steelers Pohang Steelers GKOR
28.05.2024 Gwangju Gwangju 0-1 HT 0-1 Pohang Steelers Pohang Steelers GKOK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Gwangju
0-3
AWAY Pohang Steelers
11 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 2
393 Passes 408
13 Crosses 12
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Gwangju vs Pohang Steelers
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Pohang Steelers ran out comfortable winners over Gwangju 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Pohang Steelers as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, shots finished 11-12.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Pohang Steelers led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Gwangju and 1.17 for Pohang Steelers.

What was the final score of Gwangju vs Pohang Steelers?

Gwangju 0-3 Pohang Steelers in the South Kore - K League Classic on 11/07/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gwangju vs Pohang Steelers?

Before kick-off our model rated an Pohang Steelers win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Gwangju 22%, draw 32%, Pohang Steelers 45%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Pohang Steelers) — while Under 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Pohang Steelers) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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