Daejeon Citizen 1-2 FC Seoul — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K League Classic, 16 May 2026

📅16/05/2026 · 🕒10:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.94
Draw
27%
3.18
Away
41%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
54%
1.8
Over
46%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.75
No
48%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1
30%
3.0
2-3
38%
1.74
4-5
21%
3.62
6+
11%
15.25
Value flag · 0-1 at 3.0 — our 30% vs market 26.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
4.78
1/2
12%
26.5
1/X
9%
13.3
X/1
11%
6.59
X/2
13%
4.97
X/X
13%
4.41
2/1
6%
33.5
2/2
15%
3.09
2/X
5%
12.8
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 54%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Under 2.5 Away Win BTTS Yes — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
30%
+2.3pp
27%
Draw
28%
-0.7pp
41%
Away Win
42%
-1.6pp
54%
Under 2.5
52%
+2.2pp
46%
Over 2.5
48%
-2.2pp
52%
BTTS Yes
53%
-0.8pp
48%
BTTS No
47%
+0.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Daejeon Citizen EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY FC Seoul EU Bookmakers 46%
-1% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -11% / -10%
0.79/1.04 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.12/1.31
-36% / +20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -17% / -18%
45% Ball Possession 55%
13 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
294 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 428 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
16.9 Crosses 23.0
1.4 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Daejeon Citizen
3W-2D-1L
AWAY FC Seoul
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
47% Ball Possession 53%
9 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 6
291 Passes 340
76% Pass Accuracy 81%
15 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 2
18.04.2026 FC Seoul FC Seoul 0-1 HT 0-1 Daejeon Citizen Daejeon Citizen GKOR
01.11.2025 Daejeon Citizen Daejeon Citizen 3-1 HT 0-0 FC Seoul FC Seoul GKOR
27.07.2025 Daejeon Citizen Daejeon Citizen 0-1 HT 0-0 FC Seoul FC Seoul GKOR
10.05.2025 Daejeon Citizen Daejeon Citizen 0-0 HT 0-0 FC Seoul FC Seoul GKOR
12.04.2025 FC Seoul FC Seoul 2-2 HT 0-2 Daejeon Citizen Daejeon Citizen GKOR
14.09.2024 FC Seoul FC Seoul 2-3 HT 1-2 Daejeon Citizen Daejeon Citizen GKOR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Daejeon Citizen
1-2
AWAY FC Seoul
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 6
311 Passes 338
80% Pass Accuracy 80%
15 Crosses 14
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Daejeon Citizen vs FC Seoul
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FC Seoul nicked a narrow win over Daejeon Citizen 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As we said in the preview, our model had FC Seoul as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Daejeon Citizen had 48% of the ball to FC Seoul's 52%, shots finished 10-10.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Daejeon Citizen had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Daejeon Citizen and 1.00 for FC Seoul.

What was the final score of Daejeon Citizen vs FC Seoul?

Daejeon Citizen 1-2 FC Seoul in the South Kore - K League Classic on 16/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Daejeon Citizen vs FC Seoul?

Before kick-off our model rated an FC Seoul win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Daejeon Citizen 32%, draw 27%, FC Seoul 41%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (FC Seoul), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (FC Seoul) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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GKOR More South Kore - K League Classic
16 May 2026
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