Sporting CP II vs Chaves Prediction — Model Probabilities
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Sporting CP II v Chaves — Team-Based Signals
Sporting CP II vs Chaves Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings
1-0
HT 0-0
Sporting CP II
POR2
1-1
HT 0-0
Chaves
POR2
2-3
HT 1-1
Sporting CP II
POR2
Sporting CP II 1-0 Chaves — Actual Match Statistics
Sporting CP II edged past Chaves 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match split (36% / 26% / 39%) promised a tight game; Sporting CP II found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — both teams to score (55%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, shots finished 9-10.
For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Chaves led the recent series with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.80 goals for Sporting CP II and 1.00 for Chaves.
What was the final score of Sporting CP II vs Chaves?
Sporting CP II 1-0 Chaves in the Portugal - 2nd Division on 15/08/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Sporting CP II vs Chaves?
Before kick-off our model rated an Chaves win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Sporting CP II 36%, draw 26%, Chaves 39%. The final score 1-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.