Uniao De Leiria 1-2 Benfica II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - 2nd Division, 15 Aug 2026

📅15/08/2026 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
1.86
Draw
26%
3.35
Away
31%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under
47%
1.91
Over
53%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes Pick
60%
1.73
No
40%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1
25%
3.3
2-3
39%
1.76
4-5
24%
3.29
6+
12%
12.25
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
8%
1/X
9%
X/1
16%
X/2
12%
X/X
11%
2/1
7%
2/2
11%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
BTTS Yes — 60%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win BTTS Yes — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
50%
-7.0pp
26%
Draw
26%
-0.1pp
31%
Away Win
24%
+7.2pp
47%
Under 2.5
48%
-1.2pp
53%
Over 2.5
52%
+1.2pp
60%
BTTS Yes
54%
+5.8pp
40%
BTTS No
46%
-5.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Uniao De Leiria EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Benfica II EU Bookmakers 28%
-5% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +11%
1.58/1.21 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.38/1.68
+17% / -24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +32% / -4%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
306 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 292 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
18.5 Crosses 14.4
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Uniao De Leiria
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Benfica II
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.79 xG 1.60
43% Ball Possession 57%
12 Total Shots 16
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 7
268 Passes 375
81% Pass Accuracy 84%
18 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 2
11.04.2026 Benfica II Benfica II 2-2 HT 0-1 Uniao De Leiria Uniao De Leiria POR2
30.11.2025 Uniao De Leiria Uniao De Leiria 2-2 HT 1-1 Benfica II Benfica II POR2
18.04.2025 Uniao De Leiria Uniao De Leiria 1-3 HT 0-0 Benfica II Benfica II POR2
07.12.2024 Benfica II Benfica II 0-5 HT 0-3 Uniao De Leiria Uniao De Leiria POR2
29.01.2024 Benfica II Benfica II 0-1 HT 0-0 Uniao De Leiria Uniao De Leiria POR2
19.08.2023 Uniao De Leiria Uniao De Leiria 3-1 HT 2-1 Benfica II Benfica II POR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Uniao De Leiria
1-2
AWAY Benfica II
17 Total Shots 15
6 Shots on Target 6
7 Corners 1
0 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Uniao De Leiria vs Benfica II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Benfica II nicked a narrow win over Uniao De Leiria 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Uniao De Leiria at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (60%) came in.

On the day, shots finished 17-15.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Uniao De Leiria had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Uniao De Leiria and 1.33 for Benfica II.

What was the final score of Uniao De Leiria vs Benfica II?

Uniao De Leiria 1-2 Benfica II in the Portugal - 2nd Division on 15/08/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Uniao De Leiria vs Benfica II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Uniao De Leiria win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Uniao De Leiria 43%, draw 26%, Benfica II 31%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Uniao De Leiria) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Uniao De Leiria) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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