Uniao De Leiria 2-2 Benfica II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - 2nd Division, 30 Nov 2025

📅30/11/2025 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.19
Draw
24%
3.28
Away
36%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
1.86
Over 2.5
56%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.7
No
45%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
3.16
2-3 Goals
42%
1.75
4-5 Goals
25%
3.46
6+ Goals
10%
13.6
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
7%
1/X
9%
X/1
15%
X/2
9%
X/X
10%
2/1
6%
2/2
20%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
42%
-2.3pp
24%
Draw
27%
-3.1pp
36%
Away Win
31%
+5.4pp
44%
Under 2.5
50%
-5.7pp
56%
Over 2.5
50%
+5.7pp
55%
BTTS Yes
55%
+0.3pp
45%
BTTS No
45%
-0.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Uniao De Leiria EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Benfica II EU Bookmakers 34%
-12% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +21%
1.35/1.47 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.62/1.56
-6% / -22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +49% / -4%
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
294 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 303 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
20.7 Crosses 14.4
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Uniao De Leiria
3W-0D-1L
AWAY Benfica II
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.39 xG 1.14
43% Ball Possession 57%
11 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 6
277 Passes 398
80% Pass Accuracy 85%
17 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 3
18.04.2025 Uniao De Leiria Uniao De Leiria 1-3 HT 0-0 Benfica II Benfica II POR2
07.12.2024 Benfica II Benfica II 0-5 HT 0-3 Uniao De Leiria Uniao De Leiria POR2
29.01.2024 Benfica II Benfica II 0-1 HT 0-0 Uniao De Leiria Uniao De Leiria POR2
19.08.2023 Uniao De Leiria Uniao De Leiria 3-1 HT 2-1 Benfica II Benfica II POR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Uniao De Leiria
2-2
AWAY Benfica II
2.98 xG 2.90
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 16
7 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 7
333 Passes 252
86% Pass Accuracy 77%
18 Crosses 13
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Uniao De Leiria vs Benfica II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Uniao De Leiria and Benfica II shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 1-1.

Our pre-match split (40% / 24% / 36%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (56%), both teams to score (55%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Uniao De Leiria had 54% of the ball to Benfica II's 46%, shots finished 15-16, expected goals 2.98 to 2.90.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Uniao De Leiria had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Uniao De Leiria and 1.00 for Benfica II.

What was the final score of Uniao De Leiria vs Benfica II?

Uniao De Leiria 2-2 Benfica II in the Portugal - 2nd Division on 30/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Uniao De Leiria vs Benfica II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Uniao De Leiria win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Uniao De Leiria 40%, draw 24%, Benfica II 36%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Uniao De Leiria) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Uniao De Leiria) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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