Portimonense 0-2 Maritimo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - 2nd Division, 30 Nov 2025

📅30/11/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
24%
3.32
Draw
28%
3.35
Away
48%
1.98
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.78
Over 2.5
48%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.81
No
46%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2.97
2-3 Goals
42%
1.75
4-5 Goals
19%
3.65
6+ Goals
10%
15.45
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
14%
1/X
9%
X/1
9%
X/2
14%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
20%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
24%
Home Win
27%
-2.4pp
27%
Draw
26%
+0.9pp
48%
Away Win
47%
+1.5pp
52%
Under 2.5
52%
-0.5pp
48%
Over 2.5
48%
+0.5pp
54%
BTTS Yes
51%
+2.5pp
46%
BTTS No
49%
-2.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Portimonense EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Maritimo EU Bookmakers 50%
-1% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +9%
1.19/1.21 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.56/0.89
+22% / +0% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -31% / +60%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
272 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 301 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
15.7 Crosses 19.2
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Portimonense
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Maritimo
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.50 xG 1.28
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
304 Passes 278
76% Pass Accuracy 77%
22 Box Touches 20
18 Crosses 19
3 Yellow Cards 2
08.02.2025 Maritimo Maritimo 2-0 HT 1-0 Portimonense Portimonense POR2
01.09.2024 Portimonense Portimonense 5-1 HT 3-0 Maritimo Maritimo POR2
18.02.2023 Portimonense Portimonense 2-1 HT 0-1 Maritimo Maritimo POR
27.08.2022 Maritimo Maritimo 0-1 HT 0-1 Portimonense Portimonense POR
14.05.2022 Maritimo Maritimo 0-1 HT 0-0 Portimonense Portimonense POR
09.01.2022 Portimonense Portimonense 1-2 HT 0-1 Maritimo Maritimo POR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Portimonense
0-2
AWAY Maritimo
1.45 xG 1.88
54% Ball Possession 46%
9 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
274 Passes 214
77% Pass Accuracy 68%
13 Crosses 13
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Portimonense vs Maritimo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Maritimo beat Portimonense 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As we said in the preview, our model had Maritimo as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Portimonense had 54% of the ball to Maritimo's 46%, shots finished 9-16, expected goals 1.45 to 1.88.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Portimonense had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Portimonense and 1.00 for Maritimo.

What was the final score of Portimonense vs Maritimo?

Portimonense 0-2 Maritimo in the Portugal - 2nd Division on 30/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Portimonense vs Maritimo?

Before kick-off our model rated an Maritimo win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Portimonense 24%, draw 27%, Maritimo 48%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Maritimo), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Maritimo) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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