Sporting CP II 3-1 Farense — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - 2nd Division, 30 Nov 2025

Sporting CP II
3-1 HT 2-0
Farense
📅30/11/2025 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Portugal - 2nd Division – 2025/2026

Sporting CP II vs Farense Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.33
Draw
26%
3.18
Away
33%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.71
Over 2.5
52%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.82
No
41%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2.75
2-3 Goals
42%
1.74
4-5 Goals
23%
3.93
6+ Goals
12%
18.35
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
16%
X/2
12%
X/X
12%
2/1
9%
2/2
14%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
39%
+1.5pp
26%
Draw
28%
-1.6pp
33%
Away Win
33%
+0.0pp
48%
Under 2.5
55%
-6.2pp
52%
Over 2.5
45%
+6.2pp
59%
BTTS Yes
51%
+8.3pp
41%
BTTS No
49%
-8.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Sporting CP II v Farense — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sporting CP II EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Farense EU Bookmakers 37%
+1% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -2%
2.13/1.38 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.32/1.08
+51% / +80% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -12% / +28%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
317 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 283 · 76%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
15.1 Crosses 18.4
4.0 Yellow Cards 2.9

Sporting CP II vs Farense Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sporting CP II
2W-1D-1L
AWAY Farense
2.25 Avg Goals (FT) 1.75
59% Ball Possession 41%
13 Total Shots 12
7 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
The Meetings
22.08.2015 Sporting CP II Sporting CP II 1-0 HT 0-0 Farense Farense POR2
25.01.2015 Sporting CP II Sporting CP II 5-3 HT 2-0 Farense Farense POR2
10.08.2014 Farense Farense 1-0 HT 1-0 Sporting CP II Sporting CP II POR2
13.04.2014 Sporting CP II Sporting CP II 3-3 HT 2-2 Farense Farense POR2

Sporting CP II 3-1 Farense — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sporting CP II
3-1
AWAY Farense
1.57 xG 3.41
43% Ball Possession 57%
9 Total Shots 19
2 Shots on Target 6
1 Corners 9
248 Passes 385
79% Pass Accuracy 82%
2 Crosses 26
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Sporting CP II vs Farense
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sporting CP II beat Farense 3-1. Half-time: 2-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Sporting CP II as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged both teams to score (59%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Sporting CP II had 43% of the ball to Farense's 57%, shots finished 9-19, expected goals 1.57 to 3.41 — on chances, Farense could feel hard done by.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Sporting CP II had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.25 goals for Sporting CP II and 1.75 for Farense.

What was the final score of Sporting CP II vs Farense?

Sporting CP II 3-1 Farense in the Portugal - 2nd Division on 30/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sporting CP II vs Farense?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sporting CP II win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Sporting CP II 41%, draw 26%, Farense 33%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sporting CP II), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Sporting CP II) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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