Porto II vs Lusitania FC Lourosa Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Porto II v Lusitania FC Lourosa — Team-Based Signals
Porto II 1-2 Lusitania FC Lourosa — Actual Match Statistics
Lusitania FC Lourosa edged past Porto II 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match split (40% / 25% / 35%) promised a tight game; Lusitania FC Lourosa found the edge the numbers couldn't.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.
On the day, Porto II had 44% of the ball to Lusitania FC Lourosa's 56%, shots finished 7-9, expected goals 1.72 to 1.70.
What was the final score of Porto II vs Lusitania FC Lourosa?
Porto II 1-2 Lusitania FC Lourosa in the Portugal - 2nd Division on 30/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Porto II vs Lusitania FC Lourosa?
Before kick-off our model rated a Porto II win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Porto II 40%, draw 25%, Lusitania FC Lourosa 35%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Porto II), Under 2.5 went the other way.