Maritimo 2-0 Portimonense — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - 2nd Division, 8 Feb 2025

📅08/02/2025 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.8
Draw
25%
3.35
Away
25%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.68
Over 2.5
45%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.96
No
57%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2.6
2-3 Goals
34%
1.71
4-5 Goals
22%
4.02
6+ Goals
10%
19.6
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
19%
X/2
8%
X/X
11%
2/1
8%
2/2
10%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
52%
-2.0pp
25%
Draw
27%
-1.5pp
25%
Away Win
22%
+3.5pp
55%
Under 2.5
56%
-0.2pp
45%
Over 2.5
44%
+0.2pp
43%
BTTS Yes
47%
-4.1pp
57%
BTTS No
53%
+4.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Maritimo EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Portimonense EU Bookmakers 25%
-12% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / -1%
1.31/1.24 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.93/1.38
-7% / -21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -42% / -19%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
300 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 293 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
19.5 Crosses 17.9
3.2 Yellow Cards 3.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Maritimo
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Portimonense
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.15 xG 1.33
46% Ball Possession 54%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
259 Passes 336
73% Pass Accuracy 76%
18 Box Touches 20
19 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
01.09.2024 Portimonense Portimonense 5-1 HT 3-0 Maritimo Maritimo POR2
18.02.2023 Portimonense Portimonense 2-1 HT 0-1 Maritimo Maritimo POR
27.08.2022 Maritimo Maritimo 0-1 HT 0-1 Portimonense Portimonense POR
14.05.2022 Maritimo Maritimo 0-1 HT 0-0 Portimonense Portimonense POR
09.01.2022 Portimonense Portimonense 1-2 HT 0-1 Maritimo Maritimo POR
28.02.2021 Portimonense Portimonense 0-0 HT 0-0 Maritimo Maritimo POR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Maritimo
2-0
AWAY Portimonense
1.27 xG 1.26
43% Ball Possession 57%
17 Total Shots 15
2 Shots on Target 1
1 Corners 7
228 Passes 348
78% Pass Accuracy 83%
15 Crosses 23
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Maritimo vs Portimonense
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Maritimo got the better of Portimonense 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Maritimo as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (55%), no to both teams scoring (57%) came in.

On the day, Maritimo had 43% of the ball to Portimonense's 57%, shots finished 17-15, expected goals 1.27 to 1.26.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Portimonense led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Maritimo and 1.67 for Portimonense.

What was the final score of Maritimo vs Portimonense?

Maritimo 2-0 Portimonense in the Portugal - 2nd Division on 08/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Maritimo vs Portimonense?

Before kick-off our model rated a Maritimo win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Maritimo 50%, draw 25%, Portimonense 25%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Maritimo), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Maritimo) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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