Penafiel vs Paços De Ferreira Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Penafiel v Paços De Ferreira — Team-Based Signals
Penafiel vs Paços De Ferreira Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-1
HT 1-1
Penafiel
POR2
1-2
HT 1-0
Paços De Ferreira
PORLC
2-2
HT 2-1
Penafiel
HAZ
2-1
HT 0-0
Penafiel
POR
Penafiel 1-2 Paços De Ferreira — Actual Match Statistics
Paços De Ferreira edged past Penafiel 2-1 away from home.
Our pre-match split (38% / 27% / 35%) promised a tight game; Paços De Ferreira found the edge the numbers couldn't.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.
On the day, Penafiel had 64% of the ball to Paços De Ferreira's 36%, shots finished 12-10, expected goals 0.97 to 0.97.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Paços De Ferreira led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Penafiel and 1.67 for Paços De Ferreira.
What was the final score of Penafiel vs Paços De Ferreira?
Penafiel 1-2 Paços De Ferreira in the Portugal - 2nd Division on 08/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Penafiel vs Paços De Ferreira?
Before kick-off our model rated a Penafiel win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Penafiel 38%, draw 27%, Paços De Ferreira 35%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.