Felgueiras 1932 1-0 Tondela — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - 2nd Division, 8 Feb 2025

📅08/02/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.57
Draw
30%
2.94
Away
38%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.6
Over 2.5
44%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.9
No
50%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2.43
2-3 Goals
42%
1.72
4-5 Goals
21%
4.35
6+ Goals
8%
23.4
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
14%
X/2
11%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
21%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
35%
-3.2pp
30%
Draw
30%
+0.4pp
38%
Away Win
35%
+2.7pp
56%
Under 2.5
59%
-2.6pp
44%
Over 2.5
41%
+2.6pp
50%
BTTS Yes
49%
+1.6pp
50%
BTTS No
51%
-1.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Felgueiras 1932 EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Tondela EU Bookmakers 39%
-16% / -16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +17% / +27%
1.76/0.73 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.27/1.06
-36% / +2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +20% / +72%
52% Ball Possession 48%
16 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
331 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 282 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
15.3 Crosses 15.6
0.6 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Felgueiras 1932
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Tondela
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.09 xG 1.46
57% Ball Possession 43%
5 Total Shots 10
0 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
131 Passes 223
83% Pass Accuracy 75%
16 Crosses 20
0 Yellow Cards 2
31.08.2024 Tondela Tondela 1-1 HT 0-0 Felgueiras 1932 Felgueiras 1932 POR2
22.11.2020 Felgueiras 1932 Felgueiras 1932 0-1 HT 0-0 Tondela Tondela POK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Felgueiras 1932
1-0
AWAY Tondela
1.30 xG 0.47
49% Ball Possession 51%
4 Total Shots 12
0 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 1
89 Passes 273
74% Pass Accuracy 77%
8 Crosses 26
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Felgueiras 1932 vs Tondela
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Felgueiras 1932 edged past Tondela 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (32% / 30% / 38%) promised a tight game; Felgueiras 1932 found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Felgueiras 1932 had 49% of the ball to Tondela's 51%, shots finished 4-12, expected goals 1.30 to 0.47.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Tondela led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Felgueiras 1932 and 1.00 for Tondela.

What was the final score of Felgueiras 1932 vs Tondela?

Felgueiras 1932 1-0 Tondela in the Portugal - 2nd Division on 08/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Felgueiras 1932 vs Tondela?

Before kick-off our model rated an Tondela win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Felgueiras 1932 32%, draw 30%, Tondela 38%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Tondela) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Tondela) ✓ Under 2.5
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