Portimonense 5-1 Maritimo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - 2nd Division, 1 Sep 2024

📅01/09/2024 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.53
Draw
27%
3.18
Away
35%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.74
Over 2.5
47%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.82
No
52%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2.8
2-3 Goals
40%
1.77
4-5 Goals
22%
4.16
6+ Goals
9%
20.15
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
7%
X/2
15%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
12%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
36%
+2.0pp
27%
Draw
28%
-0.5pp
35%
Away Win
36%
-1.6pp
53%
Under 2.5
54%
-1.1pp
47%
Over 2.5
46%
+1.1pp
48%
BTTS Yes
51%
-2.5pp
52%
BTTS No
49%
+2.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Portimonense EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Maritimo EU Bookmakers 40%
-9% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +30% / +30%
0.94/1.08 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.88/0.87
-25% / +15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +42% / +36%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
274 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 306 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses 17.8
Yellow Cards 3.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Portimonense
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Maritimo
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.33 xG 1.21
58% Ball Possession 42%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
364 Passes 236
78% Pass Accuracy 71%
20 Box Touches 17
19 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 3
18.02.2023 Portimonense Portimonense 2-1 HT 0-1 Maritimo Maritimo POR
27.08.2022 Maritimo Maritimo 0-1 HT 0-1 Portimonense Portimonense POR
14.05.2022 Maritimo Maritimo 0-1 HT 0-0 Portimonense Portimonense POR
09.01.2022 Portimonense Portimonense 1-2 HT 0-1 Maritimo Maritimo POR
28.02.2021 Portimonense Portimonense 0-0 HT 0-0 Maritimo Maritimo POR
17.10.2020 Maritimo Maritimo 1-2 HT 0-0 Portimonense Portimonense POR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Portimonense
5-1
AWAY Maritimo
1.47 xG 1.42
39% Ball Possession 61%
10 Total Shots 15
6 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 10
183 Passes 313
72% Pass Accuracy 80%
9 Crosses 25
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Portimonense vs Maritimo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Portimonense swept aside Maritimo 5-1. Half-time: 3-0. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (38% / 27% / 35%) promised a tight game; Portimonense found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Portimonense had 39% of the ball to Maritimo's 61%, shots finished 10-15, expected goals 1.47 to 1.42.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Portimonense had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Portimonense and 0.67 for Maritimo.

What was the final score of Portimonense vs Maritimo?

Portimonense 5-1 Maritimo in the Portugal - 2nd Division on 01/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Portimonense vs Maritimo?

Before kick-off our model rated a Portimonense win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Portimonense 38%, draw 27%, Maritimo 35%. The final score 5-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Portimonense) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Portimonense) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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