CD Feirense 2-3 Benfica II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - 2nd Division, 1 Sep 2024

📅01/09/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.47
Draw
24%
3.18
Away
34%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
1.68
Over 2.5
55%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.85
No
45%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2.73
2-3 Goals
41%
1.77
4-5 Goals
23%
4.29
6+ Goals
11%
21.45
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
11%
1/X
8%
X/1
16%
X/2
14%
X/X
10%
2/1
5%
2/2
8%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
37%
+5.2pp
24%
Draw
28%
-3.3pp
34%
Away Win
36%
-1.7pp
45%
Under 2.5
56%
-10.6pp
55%
Over 2.5
44%
+10.6pp
55%
BTTS Yes
50%
+5.1pp
45%
BTTS No
50%
-5.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME CD Feirense EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Benfica II EU Bookmakers 39%
+8% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +1%
1.40/1.33 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.59/1.46
+18% / +13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +33% / -22%
45% Ball Possession 55%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
239 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 323 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
22.0 Crosses 17.0
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME CD Feirense
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Benfica II
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
1.86 xG 2.19
45% Ball Possession 55%
16 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 7
279 Passes 365
77% Pass Accuracy 81%
21 Crosses 23
2 Yellow Cards 2
02.03.2024 CD Feirense CD Feirense 1-2 HT 1-0 Benfica II Benfica II POR2
08.10.2023 Benfica II Benfica II 2-3 HT 1-3 CD Feirense CD Feirense POR2
13.05.2023 CD Feirense CD Feirense 1-2 HT 1-2 Benfica II Benfica II POR2
08.01.2023 Benfica II Benfica II 3-6 HT 3-1 CD Feirense CD Feirense POR2
07.05.2022 Benfica II Benfica II 1-2 HT 1-0 CD Feirense CD Feirense POR2
28.12.2021 CD Feirense CD Feirense 2-1 HT 1-0 Benfica II Benfica II POR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME CD Feirense
2-3
AWAY Benfica II
1.72 xG 1.03
49% Ball Possession 51%
15 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
1 Corners 9
270 Passes 316
77% Pass Accuracy 79%
12 Crosses 19
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH CD Feirense vs Benfica II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Benfica II nicked a narrow win over CD Feirense 3-2 away from home. Half-time: 1-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was CD Feirense at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (55%), both teams to score (55%) came in.

On the day, CD Feirense had 49% of the ball to Benfica II's 51%, shots finished 15-11, expected goals 1.72 to 1.03 — the balance of chances actually favoured CD Feirense.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, CD Feirense had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for CD Feirense and 1.83 for Benfica II.

What was the final score of CD Feirense vs Benfica II?

CD Feirense 2-3 Benfica II in the Portugal - 2nd Division on 01/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for CD Feirense vs Benfica II?

Before kick-off our model rated a CD Feirense win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split CD Feirense 42%, draw 24%, Benfica II 34%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (CD Feirense) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (CD Feirense) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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