Benfica II 2-2 Uniao De Leiria — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - 2nd Division, 11 Apr 2026

📅11/04/2026 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.67
Draw
23%
3.18
Away
39%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under
44%
1.86
Over Pick
56%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.7
No
46%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1
25%
3.1
2-3
40%
1.72
4-5
22%
3.39
6+
13%
13.35
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
9%
1/X
7%
X/1
11%
X/2
12%
X/X
9%
2/1
9%
2/2
18%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Over 2.5 — 56%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Away Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
34%
+3.8pp
23%
Draw
28%
-4.6pp
39%
Away Win
38%
+0.8pp
44%
Under 2.5
50%
-5.7pp
56%
Over 2.5
50%
+5.7pp
54%
BTTS Yes
55%
-1.1pp
46%
BTTS No
45%
+1.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Benfica II EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Uniao De Leiria EU Bookmakers 42%
+7% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -17% / -14%
1.56/1.26 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.56/1.03
+22% / -2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +1% / -13%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
288 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 339 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
18.2 Crosses 17.4
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Benfica II
1W-1D-3L
AWAY Uniao De Leiria
1.20 Avg Goals (FT) 2.40
1.49 xG 1.71
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 3
369 Passes 288
84% Pass Accuracy 81%
17 Crosses 17
3 Yellow Cards 2
30.11.2025 Uniao De Leiria Uniao De Leiria 2-2 HT 1-1 Benfica II Benfica II POR2
18.04.2025 Uniao De Leiria Uniao De Leiria 1-3 HT 0-0 Benfica II Benfica II POR2
07.12.2024 Benfica II Benfica II 0-5 HT 0-3 Uniao De Leiria Uniao De Leiria POR2
29.01.2024 Benfica II Benfica II 0-1 HT 0-0 Uniao De Leiria Uniao De Leiria POR2
19.08.2023 Uniao De Leiria Uniao De Leiria 3-1 HT 2-1 Benfica II Benfica II POR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Benfica II
2-2
AWAY Uniao De Leiria
2.18 xG 2.19
68% Ball Possession 32%
22 Total Shots 13
7 Shots on Target 5
12 Corners 6
404 Passes 168
88% Pass Accuracy 78%
35 Crosses 20
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Benfica II vs Uniao De Leiria
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Benfica II and Uniao De Leiria couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (38% / 23% / 39%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Benfica II had 68% of the ball to Uniao De Leiria's 32%, shots finished 22-13, expected goals 2.18 to 2.19.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Uniao De Leiria led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.20 goals for Benfica II and 2.40 for Uniao De Leiria.

What was the final score of Benfica II vs Uniao De Leiria?

Benfica II 2-2 Uniao De Leiria in the Portugal - 2nd Division on 11/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Benfica II vs Uniao De Leiria?

Before kick-off our model rated an Uniao De Leiria win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Benfica II 38%, draw 23%, Uniao De Leiria 39%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Uniao De Leiria) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Uniao De Leiria) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
POR2 More Portugal - 2nd Division
11 Apr 2026
13:00 Penafiel vs Academico Viseu Analysis →
16:00 Farense vs Sporting CP II Analysis →
20:00 Chaves vs Torreense Analysis →