Farense vs Sporting CP II Prediction — Model Probabilities
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Farense v Sporting CP II — Team-Based Signals
Farense vs Sporting CP II Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings
1-0
HT 0-0
Farense
POR2
5-3
HT 2-0
Farense
POR2
1-0
HT 1-0
Sporting CP II
POR2
3-3
HT 2-2
Farense
POR2
Farense 2-1 Sporting CP II — Actual Match Statistics
Farense squeezed past Sporting CP II 2-1. Half-time: 2-0.
We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 28% / 35% — and on the day Farense made the difference.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.
On the day, Farense had 32% of the ball to Sporting CP II's 68%, shots finished 6-7, expected goals 1.49 to 0.27 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Farense's control.
For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Sporting CP II led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.60 goals for Farense and 2.40 for Sporting CP II.
What was the final score of Farense vs Sporting CP II?
Farense 2-1 Sporting CP II in the Portugal - 2nd Division on 11/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Farense vs Sporting CP II?
Before kick-off our model rated a Farense win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Farense 37%, draw 28%, Sporting CP II 35%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Farense), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.