Chaves vs Torreense Prediction — Model Probabilities
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Chaves v Torreense — Team-Based Signals
Chaves vs Torreense Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings
Chaves 2-0 Torreense — Actual Match Statistics
Chaves got the better of Torreense 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match split (33% / 29% / 38%) promised a tight game; Chaves found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (58%), and that read landed as well.
On the day, Chaves had 57% of the ball to Torreense's 43%, shots finished 14-4, expected goals 1.43 to 0.17.
Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Chaves had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Chaves and 0.67 for Torreense.
What was the final score of Chaves vs Torreense?
Chaves 2-0 Torreense in the Portugal - 2nd Division on 11/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Chaves vs Torreense?
Before kick-off our model rated an Torreense win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Chaves 33%, draw 29%, Torreense 38%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Torreense) went the other way.