Torreense 1-2 Chaves — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - 2nd Division, 23 Feb 2025

📅23/02/2025 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.84
Draw
27%
3.04
Away
41%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.64
Over 2.5
38%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
1.9
No
61%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
35%
2.5
2-3 Goals
39%
1.71
4-5 Goals
18%
4.21
6+ Goals
8%
21.7
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.5 — our 35% vs market 32.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
9%
X/2
16%
X/X
14%
2/1
8%
2/2
19%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
32%
+0.2pp
27%
Draw
29%
-2.6pp
42%
Away Win
39%
+2.4pp
62%
Under 2.5
57%
+4.6pp
38%
Over 2.5
43%
-4.6pp
39%
BTTS Yes
49%
-9.5pp
61%
BTTS No
51%
+9.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Torreense EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Chaves EU Bookmakers 43%
+10% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +19%
1.48/1.21 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.18/1.13
+10% / +14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -7% / +60%
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
280 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 314 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
20.5 Crosses 17.7
2.9 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Torreense
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Chaves
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.65 xG 2.57
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 1
6 Corners 4
292 Passes 237
77% Pass Accuracy 76%
30 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 3
28.09.2024 Chaves Chaves 2-1 HT 0-1 Torreense Torreense POR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Torreense
1-2
AWAY Chaves
2.30 xG 2.93
64% Ball Possession 36%
21 Total Shots 11
8 Shots on Target 8
5 Corners 2
291 Passes 121
85% Pass Accuracy 62%
28 Crosses 13
5 Yellow Cards 10
POST-MATCH Torreense vs Chaves
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Chaves squeezed past Torreense 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

As we said in the preview, our model had Chaves as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (61%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Torreense had 64% of the ball to Chaves's 36%, shots finished 21-11, expected goals 2.30 to 2.93.

What was the final score of Torreense vs Chaves?

Torreense 1-2 Chaves in the Portugal - 2nd Division on 23/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Torreense vs Chaves?

Before kick-off our model rated an Chaves win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Torreense 32%, draw 27%, Chaves 42%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Chaves) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Chaves) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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