Academico Viseu 1-1 Tondela — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - 2nd Division, 23 Feb 2025

📅23/02/2025 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.67
Draw
30%
2.94
Away
37%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.56
Over 2.5
47%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.96
No
50%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2.31
2-3 Goals
42%
1.72
4-5 Goals
21%
4.64
6+ Goals
8%
27.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
12%
X/2
8%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
21%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
34%
-0.9pp
30%
Draw
30%
-0.3pp
37%
Away Win
36%
+1.2pp
53%
Under 2.5
60%
-7.2pp
47%
Over 2.5
40%
+7.2pp
50%
BTTS Yes
47%
+3.0pp
50%
BTTS No
53%
-3.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Academico Viseu EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Tondela EU Bookmakers 39%
-2% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +14% / +21%
1.08/1.14 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.21/1.08
-24% / +18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +12% / +69%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
283 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 302 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
19.2 Crosses 16.3
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Academico Viseu
1W-4D-1L
AWAY Tondela
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
1.10 xG 1.14
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
263 Passes 255
74% Pass Accuracy 72%
22 Crosses 18
3 Yellow Cards 3
28.09.2024 Tondela Tondela 4-1 HT 3-1 Academico Viseu Academico Viseu POR2
30.01.2024 Academico Viseu Academico Viseu 1-1 HT 0-0 Tondela Tondela POR2
19.08.2023 Tondela Tondela 2-2 HT 2-1 Academico Viseu Academico Viseu POR2
17.02.2023 Tondela Tondela 1-1 HT 1-1 Academico Viseu Academico Viseu POR2
15.12.2022 Academico Viseu Academico Viseu 4-1 HT 2-0 Tondela Tondela PORLC
27.08.2022 Academico Viseu Academico Viseu 2-2 HT 0-2 Tondela Tondela POR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Academico Viseu
1-1
AWAY Tondela
1.05 xG 1.28
46% Ball Possession 54%
5 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Target 3
1 Corners 5
219 Passes 286
72% Pass Accuracy 75%
15 Crosses 22
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Academico Viseu vs Tondela
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Academico Viseu and Tondela couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match split (33% / 30% / 37%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Academico Viseu had 46% of the ball to Tondela's 54%, shots finished 5-10, expected goals 1.05 to 1.28.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Academico Viseu and 1.83 for Tondela.

What was the final score of Academico Viseu vs Tondela?

Academico Viseu 1-1 Tondela in the Portugal - 2nd Division on 23/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Academico Viseu vs Tondela?

Before kick-off our model rated an Tondela win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Academico Viseu 33%, draw 30%, Tondela 37%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Tondela) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Tondela) ✓ Under 2.5
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