Louletano 1-3 Belenenses — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - 3rd Division, 15 Aug 2026

📅15/08/2026 · 🕒19:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.99
Draw
31%
3.11
Away
37%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
59%
1.64
Over
41%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.9
No
50%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1
34%
2-3
39%
4-5
20%
6+
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
9%
X/2
11%
X/X
11%
2/1
7%
2/2
19%
2/X
13%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 59%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH Away Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
33%
Home Win
30%
+2.6pp
31%
Draw
29%
+2.0pp
37%
Away Win
41%
-4.6pp
59%
Under 2.5
57%
+1.6pp
41%
Over 2.5
43%
-1.6pp
50%
BTTS Yes
49%
+1.6pp
50%
BTTS No
51%
-1.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Louletano The Market 33%
Head to Head
AWAY Belenenses The Market 45%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
317 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 341 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Louletano
1-3
AWAY Belenenses
8 Total Shots 19
5 Shots on Target 9
8 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Louletano vs Belenenses
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Belenenses saw off Louletano 3-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match split (33% / 31% / 37%) promised a tight game; Belenenses found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, shots finished 8-19.

What was the final score of Louletano vs Belenenses?

Louletano 1-3 Belenenses in the Portugal - 3rd Division on 15/08/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Louletano vs Belenenses?

Before kick-off our model rated an Belenenses win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Louletano 33%, draw 31%, Belenenses 37%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Belenenses) — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Belenenses) ✗ Under 2.5
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