Vitoria Guimaraes II 2-0 Leça — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - 3rd Division, 15 Aug 2026

📅15/08/2026 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
2.25
Draw
24%
3.11
Away
31%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
55%
1.67
Over
45%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.85
No
53%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1
32%
2-3
42%
4-5
18%
6+
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
16%
X/2
9%
X/X
10%
2/1
8%
2/2
15%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 55%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH Under 2.5 — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
45%
Home Win
41%
+4.6pp
23%
Draw
29%
-5.3pp
31%
Away Win
30%
+0.8pp
55%
Under 2.5
56%
-1.5pp
45%
Over 2.5
44%
+1.5pp
47%
BTTS Yes
50%
-3.3pp
53%
BTTS No
50%
+3.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Vitoria Guimaraes II The Market 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Leça The Market 34%
-25% / -19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-17% / -28% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
298 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 357 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Vitoria Guimaraes II
2-0
AWAY Leça
13 Total Shots 11
7 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 2
4 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Vitoria Guimaraes II vs Leça
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Vitoria Guimaraes II saw off Leça 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Vitoria Guimaraes II as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (55%) came in.

On the day, shots finished 13-11.

What was the final score of Vitoria Guimaraes II vs Leça?

Vitoria Guimaraes II 2-0 Leça in the Portugal - 3rd Division on 15/08/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Vitoria Guimaraes II vs Leça?

Before kick-off our model rated a Vitoria Guimaraes II win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Vitoria Guimaraes II 45%, draw 23%, Leça 31%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Vitoria Guimaraes II), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Vitoria Guimaraes II) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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