Atletico CP 1-1 Mafra — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - 3rd Division, 15 Aug 2026

📅15/08/2026 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.46
Draw
30%
3.04
Away
37%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
56%
1.64
Over
44%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.85
No
51%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1
30%
2-3
40%
4-5
21%
6+
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
7%
1/X
10%
X/1
14%
X/2
10%
X/X
14%
2/1
7%
2/2
20%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 56%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH Under 2.5 BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
33%
Home Win
37%
-4.4pp
30%
Draw
30%
+0.2pp
37%
Away Win
33%
+4.2pp
56%
Under 2.5
57%
-1.4pp
44%
Over 2.5
43%
+1.4pp
49%
BTTS Yes
50%
-0.6pp
51%
BTTS No
50%
+0.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Atletico CP The Market 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Mafra The Market 37%
-1% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -3%
1.51/1.25 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/1.20
+26% / -14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -22% / -4%
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
294 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 318 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Atletico CP
0W-0D-2L
AWAY Mafra
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
7 Corners 6
0 Yellow Cards 2
24.01.2026 Atletico CP Atletico CP 1-2 HT 0-0 Mafra Mafra POR3
02.11.2025 Mafra Mafra 1-0 HT 1-0 Atletico CP Atletico CP POR3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Atletico CP
1-1
AWAY Mafra
3 Total Shots 7
2 Shots on Target 2
2 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Atletico CP vs Mafra
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Atletico CP and Mafra shared the points in a 1-1 draw.

Our pre-match split (33% / 30% / 37%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, shots finished 3-7.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Mafra led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Atletico CP and 1.50 for Mafra.

What was the final score of Atletico CP vs Mafra?

Atletico CP 1-1 Mafra in the Portugal - 3rd Division on 15/08/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Atletico CP vs Mafra?

Before kick-off our model rated an Mafra win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Atletico CP 33%, draw 30%, Mafra 37%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Mafra), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Mafra) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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