Paços De Ferreira 0-1 Paredes — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - 3rd Division, 15 Aug 2026

📅15/08/2026 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.57
Draw
25%
3.18
Away
35%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under
51%
1.75
Over
49%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes Pick
56%
1.81
No
44%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1
27%
2-3
45%
4-5
19%
6+
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
12%
X/2
13%
X/X
14%
2/1
10%
2/2
16%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
BTTS Yes — 56%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH Home Win Under 2.5 BTTS Yes — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
40%
Home Win
35%
+4.9pp
25%
Draw
28%
-3.3pp
35%
Away Win
37%
-1.5pp
51%
Under 2.5
53%
-2.0pp
49%
Over 2.5
47%
+2.0pp
56%
BTTS Yes
51%
+4.8pp
44%
BTTS No
49%
-4.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Paços De Ferreira The Market 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Paredes The Market 40%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +42% / -23%
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
333 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 298 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 4.4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Paços De Ferreira
0-1
AWAY Paredes
9 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 4
4 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Paços De Ferreira vs Paredes
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Paredes squeezed past Paços De Ferreira 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 25% / 35% — and on the day Paredes made the difference. The goals read — both teams to score (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, shots finished 9-14.

What was the final score of Paços De Ferreira vs Paredes?

Paços De Ferreira 0-1 Paredes in the Portugal - 3rd Division on 15/08/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Paços De Ferreira vs Paredes?

Before kick-off our model rated a Paços De Ferreira win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Paços De Ferreira 40%, draw 25%, Paredes 35%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Paços De Ferreira), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Paços De Ferreira) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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