15/08/2026
·
21:30
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
1-1
2nd Score
2-1
Bursaspor vs Iğdır FK Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Both Teams to Score
Total Goals
0-1
26%
2-3
41%
4-5
23%
6+
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
17%
X/2
12%
X/X
11%
2/1
8%
2/2
13%
2/X
4%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our Pick
BTTS Yes — 56% ✗
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
60%
22%
Draw
23%
31%
Away Win
18%
46%
Under 2.5
50%
54%
Over 2.5
50%
56%
BTTS Yes
47%
44%
BTTS No
53%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Bursaspor v Iğdır FK — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Bursaspor
EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY
Iğdır FK
EU Bookmakers 21%
+7% /
+7%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
-30% /
-30%
1.58/0.85
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
0.65/2.04
-10%
/
+15%
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
-51%
/
-35%
56%
Ball Possession
44%
14
Total Shots
10
5
Shots on Target
4
5
Corners
4
374 · 78%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
251 · 71%
25.3
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
16.6
23.2
Crosses
11.7
1.8
Yellow Cards
2.6
Bursaspor 1-0 Iğdır FK — Actual Match Statistics
RESULT
Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME
Bursaspor
1-0
AWAY
Iğdır FK
0.57
xG
0.65
5
Total Shots
10
2
Shots on Target
4
3
Corners
4
378
Passes
368
13
Box Touches
21
10
Crosses
10
0
Yellow Cards
1
POST-MATCH
Bursaspor vs Iğdır FK
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Bursaspor squeezed past Iğdır FK 1-0.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Bursaspor as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — both teams to score (56%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, shots finished 5-10, expected goals 0.57 to 0.65.
What was the final score of Bursaspor vs Iğdır FK?
Bursaspor 1-0 Iğdır FK in the Turkey - 1st Division on 15/08/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Bursaspor vs Iğdır FK?
Before kick-off our model rated a Bursaspor win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Bursaspor 47%, draw 22%, Iğdır FK 31%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Bursaspor) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.
✓ Match Result (Bursaspor)
✗ Over 2.5
✗ BTTS Yes
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15 Aug 2026