İstanbulspor 2-2 Bodrum FK — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - 1st Division, 15 Aug 2026

📅15/08/2026 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
2.57
Draw
28%
3.18
Away
42%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under
50%
1.78
Over
50%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes Pick
54%
1.75
No
46%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1
29%
2-3
38%
4-5
23%
6+
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
11%
1/X
6%
X/1
13%
X/2
12%
X/X
13%
2/1
8%
2/2
20%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
BTTS Yes — 54%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
35%
-5.4pp
28%
Draw
28%
-0.2pp
42%
Away Win
37%
+5.6pp
50%
Under 2.5
52%
-2.0pp
50%
Over 2.5
48%
+2.0pp
54%
BTTS Yes
53%
+1.2pp
46%
BTTS No
47%
-1.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME İstanbulspor EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Bodrum FK EU Bookmakers 40%
+3% / +17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / +0%
1.51/1.62 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.12/1.05
+37% / -6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -11% / +13%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
332 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 281 · 77%
22.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.2
18.2 Crosses 14.9
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME İstanbulspor
0W-0D-2L
AWAY Bodrum FK
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
0.54 xG 2.59
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 2
324 Passes 341
83% Pass Accuracy 84%
14 Box Touches 20
22 Crosses 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
22.03.2026 İstanbulspor İstanbulspor 0-1 HT 0-1 Bodrum FK Bodrum FK T1L
07.11.2025 Bodrum FK Bodrum FK 5-0 HT 2-0 İstanbulspor İstanbulspor T1L
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME İstanbulspor
2-2
AWAY Bodrum FK
1.34 xG 1.59
15 Total Shots 14
9 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
336 Passes 396
20 Box Touches 24
10 Crosses 23
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH İstanbulspor vs Bodrum FK
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

İstanbulspor and Bodrum FK shared the points in a 2-2 draw. It was 2-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Bodrum FK at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, shots finished 15-14, expected goals 1.34 to 1.59.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Bodrum FK led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.00 goals for İstanbulspor and 3.00 for Bodrum FK.

What was the final score of İstanbulspor vs Bodrum FK?

İstanbulspor 2-2 Bodrum FK in the Turkey - 1st Division on 15/08/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for İstanbulspor vs Bodrum FK?

Before kick-off our model rated an Bodrum FK win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split İstanbulspor 30%, draw 28%, Bodrum FK 42%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Bodrum FK) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Bodrum FK) ✓ BTTS Yes
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