Utebo 5-2 Barbastro — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 15 Sep 2024

📅15/09/2024 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.82
Draw
26%
3.04
Away
26%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under
61%
1.44
Over
39%
2.63
Both Teams to Score
Yes
38%
2.44
No Pick
62%
1.49
Total Goals
0-1
38%
2-3
37%
4-5
18%
6+
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
15%
X/2
11%
X/X
13%
2/1
8%
2/2
7%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
BTTS No — 62%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH Under 2.5 BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
48%
Home Win
51%
-2.6pp
26%
Draw
29%
-3.7pp
26%
Away Win
20%
+6.3pp
61%
Under 2.5
66%
-5.1pp
39%
Over 2.5
34%
+5.1pp
38%
BTTS Yes
37%
+0.9pp
62%
BTTS No
63%
-0.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Utebo The Market 55%
Head to Head
AWAY Barbastro The Market 23%
+25% / +24% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -13% / -13%
1.79/0.60 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.38/1.15
+29% / +41% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -56% / +14%
54% Ball Possession 46%
10 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
368 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 323 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses 6.0
2.8 Yellow Cards 3.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Utebo
1W-1D-0L
AWAY Barbastro
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
50% Ball Possession 50%
5 Total Shots 3
3 Shots on Target 0
2 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 4
04.02.2024 Utebo Utebo 1-0 HT 1-0 Barbastro Barbastro İS4
24.09.2023 Barbastro Barbastro 1-1 HT 1-0 Utebo Utebo İS4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Utebo
5-2
AWAY Barbastro
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 8
8 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 2
5 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Utebo vs Barbastro
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Utebo swept aside Barbastro 5-2. Half-time: 4-0. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Utebo as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 5-2 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (62%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Utebo had 51% of the ball to Barbastro's 49%, shots finished 11-8.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Utebo had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Utebo and 0.50 for Barbastro.

What was the final score of Utebo vs Barbastro?

Utebo 5-2 Barbastro in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 15/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Utebo vs Barbastro?

Before kick-off our model rated a Utebo win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Utebo 48%, draw 26%, Barbastro 26%. The final score 5-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Utebo) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Utebo) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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