Audace Cerignola 3-1 SSC Giugliano — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 15 Sep 2024

📅15/09/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
1.89
Draw
26%
3.28
Away
33%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.71
Over 2.5
50%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.9
No
49%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2.85
2-3 Goals
38%
1.77
4-5 Goals
26%
4.1
6+ Goals
10%
19.45
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
12%
X/2
10%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
17%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
49%
-8.4pp
26%
Draw
27%
-1.1pp
33%
Away Win
24%
+9.4pp
50%
Under 2.5
55%
-4.7pp
50%
Over 2.5
45%
+4.7pp
51%
BTTS Yes
49%
+2.3pp
49%
BTTS No
51%
-2.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Audace Cerignola EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY SSC Giugliano EU Bookmakers 27%
-4% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -10%
1.48/0.99 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.82/1.47
+1% / -8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -18% / -17%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 5
301 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 321 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Audace Cerignola
2W-2D-0L
AWAY SSC Giugliano
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 17
4 Shots on Target 7
6 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 3
07.05.2024 Audace Cerignola Audace Cerignola 1-1 HT 1-1 SSC Giugliano SSC Giugliano İTC
23.12.2023 SSC Giugliano SSC Giugliano 0-1 HT 0-1 Audace Cerignola Audace Cerignola İTC
07.01.2023 SSC Giugliano SSC Giugliano 1-1 HT 0-0 Audace Cerignola Audace Cerignola İTC
11.09.2022 Audace Cerignola Audace Cerignola 1-0 HT 0-0 SSC Giugliano SSC Giugliano İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Audace Cerignola
3-1
AWAY SSC Giugliano
57% Ball Possession 43%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Audace Cerignola vs SSC Giugliano
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Audace Cerignola got the better of SSC Giugliano 3-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Audace Cerignola as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Audace Cerignola had 57% of the ball to SSC Giugliano's 43%, shots finished 13-11.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Audace Cerignola had the better of it with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Audace Cerignola and 0.50 for SSC Giugliano.

What was the final score of Audace Cerignola vs SSC Giugliano?

Audace Cerignola 3-1 SSC Giugliano in the Italy - Serie C on 15/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Audace Cerignola vs SSC Giugliano?

Before kick-off our model rated a Audace Cerignola win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Audace Cerignola 41%, draw 26%, SSC Giugliano 33%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Audace Cerignola), BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Audace Cerignola) ✓ BTTS Yes
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