Fortuna Düsseldorf II 1-4 Sportfreunde Lotte — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 15 Sep 2024

Fortuna Düsseldorf II
1-4 HT 1-3
Sportfreunde Lotte
📅15/09/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Germany - Regional League – 2024/2025

Fortuna Düsseldorf II vs Sportfreunde Lotte Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.67
Draw
29%
3.54
Away
39%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.33
Over 2.5
50%
1.54
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.49
No
49%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
9%
1/X
8%
X/1
11%
X/2
14%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
17%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
34%
-1.9pp
29%
Draw
25%
+3.6pp
39%
Away Win
41%
-1.6pp
50%
Under 2.5
39%
+11.2pp
50%
Over 2.5
61%
-11.2pp
51%
BTTS Yes
63%
-12.4pp
49%
BTTS No
37%
+12.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Fortuna Düsseldorf II v Sportfreunde Lotte — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Fortuna Düsseldorf II EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Sportfreunde Lotte EU Bookmakers 45%
-5% / -27% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -1%
1.09/1.30 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.35/1.47
-26% / +10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -13% / -6%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
303 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 346 · 78%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.3 Yellow Cards 1.7

Fortuna Düsseldorf II vs Sportfreunde Lotte Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Fortuna Düsseldorf II
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Sportfreunde Lotte
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 16
8 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 4
0 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
14.12.2021 Sportfreunde Lotte Sportfreunde Lotte 3-1 HT 1-0 Fortuna Düsseldorf II Fortuna Düsseldorf II ALMBÖL
14.08.2021 Fortuna Düsseldorf II Fortuna Düsseldorf II 2-1 HT 0-1 Sportfreunde Lotte Sportfreunde Lotte ALMBÖL
20.02.2021 Sportfreunde Lotte Sportfreunde Lotte 1-1 HT 1-0 Fortuna Düsseldorf II Fortuna Düsseldorf II ALMBÖL
26.09.2020 Fortuna Düsseldorf II Fortuna Düsseldorf II 6-0 HT 3-0 Sportfreunde Lotte Sportfreunde Lotte ALMBÖL
23.11.2019 Fortuna Düsseldorf II Fortuna Düsseldorf II 0-1 HT 0-0 Sportfreunde Lotte Sportfreunde Lotte ALMBÖL
09.08.2014 Sportfreunde Lotte Sportfreunde Lotte 1-2 HT 0-0 Fortuna Düsseldorf II Fortuna Düsseldorf II ALMBÖL

Fortuna Düsseldorf II 1-4 Sportfreunde Lotte — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Fortuna Düsseldorf II
1-4
AWAY Sportfreunde Lotte
42% Ball Possession 58%
10 Total Shots 20
2 Shots on Target 8
2 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Fortuna Düsseldorf II vs Sportfreunde Lotte
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sportfreunde Lotte ran out comfortable winners over Fortuna Düsseldorf II 4-1 away from home. Half-time: 1-3. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 32% / 29% / 39% — and on the day Sportfreunde Lotte made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Fortuna Düsseldorf II had 42% of the ball to Sportfreunde Lotte's 58%, shots finished 10-20.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Fortuna Düsseldorf II had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Fortuna Düsseldorf II and 1.17 for Sportfreunde Lotte.

What was the final score of Fortuna Düsseldorf II vs Sportfreunde Lotte?

Fortuna Düsseldorf II 1-4 Sportfreunde Lotte in the Germany - Regional League on 15/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Fortuna Düsseldorf II vs Sportfreunde Lotte?

Before kick-off our model rated an Sportfreunde Lotte win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Fortuna Düsseldorf II 32%, draw 29%, Sportfreunde Lotte 39%. The final score 1-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sportfreunde Lotte), BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Sportfreunde Lotte) ✓ BTTS Yes
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