Mirassol FC 0-0 Amazonas — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Serie B, 15 Sep 2024

📅15/09/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.75
Draw
31%
3.18
Away
24%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
61%
1.51
Over
39%
2.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.33
No
58%
1.53
Total Goals
0-1
39%
2.24
2-3
36%
1.8
4-5
19%
5.51
6+
6%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
9%
1/X
9%
X/1
20%
X/2
8%
X/X
11%
2/1
4%
2/2
8%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 61%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Under 2.5 Home Win BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
54%
-8.5pp
31%
Draw
28%
+2.1pp
24%
Away Win
18%
+6.3pp
61%
Under 2.5
62%
-1.2pp
39%
Over 2.5
38%
+1.2pp
42%
BTTS Yes
39%
+3.4pp
58%
BTTS No
61%
-3.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mirassol FC EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Amazonas EU Bookmakers 21%
-1% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +12% / +12%
1.12/0.54 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.72/1.06
-22% / +73% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -9% / +25%
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
365 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 298 · 76%
18.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 12.9
19.2 Crosses 10.3
2.1 Yellow Cards 3.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Mirassol FC
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Amazonas
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.75 xG 0.88
50% Ball Possession 50%
9 Total Shots 21
0 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 10
419 Passes 405
88% Pass Accuracy 87%
15 Box Touches 22
13 Crosses 25
1 Yellow Cards 4
29.05.2024 Amazonas Amazonas 1-0 HT 0-0 Mirassol FC Mirassol FC BR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Mirassol FC
0-0
AWAY Amazonas
0.62 xG 0.67
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 6
321 Passes 396
82% Pass Accuracy 84%
14 Box Touches 18
26 Crosses 14
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Mirassol FC vs Amazonas
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mirassol FC and Amazonas fought out a 0-0 stalemate. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match lean was Mirassol FC at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (58%) came in.

On the day, Mirassol FC had 46% of the ball to Amazonas's 54%, shots finished 12-14, expected goals 0.62 to 0.67.

What was the final score of Mirassol FC vs Amazonas?

Mirassol FC 0-0 Amazonas in the Brazil - Serie B on 15/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mirassol FC vs Amazonas?

Before kick-off our model rated a Mirassol FC win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Mirassol FC 45%, draw 31%, Amazonas 24%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Mirassol FC) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Mirassol FC) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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