Operario PR vs Coritiba Prediction — Model Probabilities
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Operario PR v Coritiba — Team-Based Signals
Operario PR vs Coritiba Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
3-0
HT 1-0
Coritiba
BRPR
2-1
HT 1-0
Coritiba
BRPR1
3-1
HT 0-0
Operario PR
BR2
1-0
HT 1-0
Coritiba
BR2
3-2
HT 1-1
Operario PR
BRK
Operario PR 2-1 Coritiba — Actual Match Statistics
Operario PR nicked a narrow win over Coritiba 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.
As we said in the preview, our model had Operario PR as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (70%), no to both teams scoring (65%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Operario PR had 66% of the ball to Coritiba's 34%, shots finished 16-8, expected goals 0.92 to 0.77.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Operario PR and 1.67 for Coritiba.
What was the final score of Operario PR vs Coritiba?
Operario PR 2-1 Coritiba in the Brazil - Serie B on 15/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Operario PR vs Coritiba?
Before kick-off our model rated a Operario PR win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Operario PR 42%, draw 31%, Coritiba 27%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Operario PR) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.