Santos vs America Mineiro Prediction — Model Probabilities
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Santos v America Mineiro — Team-Based Signals
Santos vs America Mineiro Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-0
HT 1-0
Santos
BR1
3-2
HT 2-1
America Mineiro
BR1
1-0
HT 1-0
Santos
BR1
3-0
HT 1-0
America Mineiro
BR1
0-2
HT 0-1
America Mineiro
BR1
Santos 2-1 America Mineiro — Actual Match Statistics
Santos squeezed past America Mineiro 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Santos as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (66%), no to both teams scoring (63%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Santos had 58% of the ball to America Mineiro's 42%, shots finished 16-13, expected goals 1.40 to 0.53.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, America Mineiro led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Santos and 1.50 for America Mineiro.
What was the final score of Santos vs America Mineiro?
Santos 2-1 America Mineiro in the Brazil - Serie B on 15/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Santos vs America Mineiro?
Before kick-off our model rated a Santos win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Santos 49%, draw 29%, America Mineiro 22%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Santos) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.