Alianza 1-0 FAS — Result, Statistics & Match Review — El Salvador - Primera Liga, 15 Sep 2024

Alianza
1-0 HT 0-0
FAS
📅15/09/2024 · 🕒04:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.64
Draw
29%
3.64
Away
19%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.75
Over 2.5
42%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.96
No
51%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
49%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
18%
X/2
6%
X/X
16%
2/1
7%
2/2
8%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
57%
-5.3pp
29%
Draw
24%
+5.2pp
19%
Away Win
19%
+0.1pp
58%
Under 2.5
53%
+4.5pp
42%
Over 2.5
47%
-4.5pp
49%
BTTS Yes
47%
+2.2pp
51%
BTTS No
53%
-2.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Alianza EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY FAS EU Bookmakers 22%
-6% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / +5%
1.75/0.77 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.22/1.63
+10% / +22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +18% / -16%
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
492 · 86% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 206 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Alianza
3W-3D-0L
AWAY FAS
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 5
5 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 3
22.05.2024 Alianza Alianza 2-1 HT 1-1 FAS FAS ELSAL
19.05.2024 FAS FAS 1-1 HT 0-0 Alianza Alianza ELSAL
02.05.2024 Alianza Alianza 0-0 HT 0-0 FAS FAS ELSAL
07.03.2024 FAS FAS 0-1 HT 0-1 Alianza Alianza ELSAL
26.10.2023 FAS FAS 0-0 HT 0-0 Alianza Alianza ELSAL
19.08.2023 Alianza Alianza 5-3 HT 5-0 FAS FAS ELSAL
POST-MATCH Alianza vs FAS
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Alianza squeezed past FAS 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Alianza as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (58%), and that read landed as well.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Alianza had the better of it with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Alianza and 0.83 for FAS.

What was the final score of Alianza vs FAS?

Alianza 1-0 FAS in the El Salvador - Primera Liga on 15/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Alianza vs FAS?

Before kick-off our model rated a Alianza win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Alianza 51%, draw 29%, FAS 19%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Alianza), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Alianza) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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