Azul Claro Numazu 0-1 Osaka — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J3 League, 15 Sep 2024

📅15/09/2024 · 🕒12:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.12
Draw
26%
3.18
Away
31%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.75
Over 2.5
46%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.81
No
54%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
18%
X/2
11%
X/X
10%
2/1
5%
2/2
15%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
43%
+0.2pp
26%
Draw
28%
-2.2pp
31%
Away Win
29%
+2.1pp
54%
Under 2.5
53%
+1.1pp
46%
Over 2.5
47%
-1.1pp
46%
BTTS Yes
51%
-5.4pp
54%
BTTS No
49%
+5.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Azul Claro Numazu EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Osaka EU Bookmakers 32%
+3% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -12%
1.66/0.90 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.86/1.18
+14% / +23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -30% / +9%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
292 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 303 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.1 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Azul Claro Numazu
1W-1D-1L
AWAY Osaka
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
61% Ball Possession 39%
8 Total Shots 8
2 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 1
28.04.2024 Osaka Osaka 2-2 HT 1-1 Azul Claro Numazu Azul Claro Numazu JAP3
27.08.2023 Azul Claro Numazu Azul Claro Numazu 0-2 HT 0-1 Osaka Osaka JAP3
29.04.2023 Osaka Osaka 0-1 HT 0-0 Azul Claro Numazu Azul Claro Numazu JAP3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Azul Claro Numazu
0-1
AWAY Osaka
64% Ball Possession 36%
14 Total Shots 15
1 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 9
358 Passes 164
81% Pass Accuracy 67%
21 Crosses 19
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Azul Claro Numazu vs Osaka
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Osaka edged past Azul Claro Numazu 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Azul Claro Numazu at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, Azul Claro Numazu had 64% of the ball to Osaka's 36%, shots finished 14-15.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Azul Claro Numazu and 1.33 for Osaka.

What was the final score of Azul Claro Numazu vs Osaka?

Azul Claro Numazu 0-1 Osaka in the Japan - J3 League on 15/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Azul Claro Numazu vs Osaka?

Before kick-off our model rated a Azul Claro Numazu win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Azul Claro Numazu 43%, draw 26%, Osaka 31%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Azul Claro Numazu) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Azul Claro Numazu) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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