Tegevajaro Miyazaki 2-0 Ryukyu — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J3 League, 15 Sep 2024

📅15/09/2024 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.33
Draw
23%
3.35
Away
41%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.95
Over 2.5
48%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.63
No
52%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
15%
X/2
16%
X/X
10%
2/1
7%
2/2
19%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
39%
-3.2pp
23%
Draw
26%
-3.4pp
41%
Away Win
34%
+6.6pp
52%
Under 2.5
48%
+4.7pp
48%
Over 2.5
52%
-4.7pp
48%
BTTS Yes
57%
-9.5pp
52%
BTTS No
43%
+9.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tegevajaro Miyazaki EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Ryukyu EU Bookmakers 38%
-7% / -33% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -8%
1.09/1.52 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.75/1.02
-21% / -23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -43% / +17%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
410 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 253 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.2 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Tegevajaro Miyazaki
1W-0D-2L
AWAY Ryukyu
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
46% Ball Possession 54%
13 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 2
18.05.2024 Ryukyu Ryukyu 2-1 HT 0-1 Tegevajaro Miyazaki Tegevajaro Miyazaki JAP3
29.10.2023 Tegevajaro Miyazaki Tegevajaro Miyazaki 0-2 HT 0-1 Ryukyu Ryukyu JAP3
24.06.2023 Ryukyu Ryukyu 0-3 HT 0-1 Tegevajaro Miyazaki Tegevajaro Miyazaki JAP3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Tegevajaro Miyazaki
2-0
AWAY Ryukyu
37% Ball Possession 63%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 2
252 Passes 518
78% Pass Accuracy 83%
12 Crosses 13
POST-MATCH Tegevajaro Miyazaki vs Ryukyu
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Tegevajaro Miyazaki beat Ryukyu 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (36% / 23% / 41%) promised a tight game; Tegevajaro Miyazaki found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Tegevajaro Miyazaki had 37% of the ball to Ryukyu's 63%, shots finished 13-10.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Ryukyu led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Tegevajaro Miyazaki and 1.33 for Ryukyu.

What was the final score of Tegevajaro Miyazaki vs Ryukyu?

Tegevajaro Miyazaki 2-0 Ryukyu in the Japan - J3 League on 15/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tegevajaro Miyazaki vs Ryukyu?

Before kick-off our model rated an Ryukyu win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Tegevajaro Miyazaki 36%, draw 23%, Ryukyu 41%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Ryukyu) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Ryukyu) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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