Fukushima United 2-3 Gainare Tottori — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J3 League, 15 Sep 2024

📅15/09/2024 · 🕒12:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
1.75
Draw
26%
3.64
Away
32%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.95
Over 2.5
50%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.75
No
47%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
9%
1/X
15%
X/1
16%
X/2
15%
X/X
5%
2/1
7%
2/2
8%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
53%
-10.9pp
26%
Draw
24%
+2.2pp
32%
Away Win
23%
+8.8pp
50%
Under 2.5
48%
+1.9pp
50%
Over 2.5
52%
-1.9pp
53%
BTTS Yes
53%
+0.2pp
47%
BTTS No
47%
-0.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Fukushima United EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Gainare Tottori EU Bookmakers 26%
+19% / +19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +2%
2.07/0.74 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.25/1.74
+22% / +22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +12% / -21%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
384 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 345 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses 11.0
0.9 Yellow Cards 1.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Fukushima United
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Gainare Tottori
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
49% Ball Possession 51%
14 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 1
06.04.2024 Gainare Tottori Gainare Tottori 1-0 HT 0-0 Fukushima United Fukushima United JAP3
16.09.2023 Gainare Tottori Gainare Tottori 2-2 HT 0-1 Fukushima United Fukushima United JAP3
15.04.2023 Fukushima United Fukushima United 0-0 HT 0-0 Gainare Tottori Gainare Tottori JAP3
23.07.2022 Fukushima United Fukushima United 3-2 HT 0-0 Gainare Tottori Gainare Tottori JAP3
15.05.2022 Gainare Tottori Gainare Tottori 0-4 HT 0-3 Fukushima United Fukushima United JAP3
05.09.2021 Fukushima United Fukushima United 2-1 HT 1-0 Gainare Tottori Gainare Tottori JAP3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Fukushima United
2-3
AWAY Gainare Tottori
68% Ball Possession 32%
20 Total Shots 16
8 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 2
480 Passes 160
85% Pass Accuracy 69%
11 Crosses 11
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Fukushima United vs Gainare Tottori
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gainare Tottori edged past Fukushima United 3-2 away from home. Half-time: 1-3. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Fukushima United at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Fukushima United had 68% of the ball to Gainare Tottori's 32%, shots finished 20-16.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Fukushima United had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Fukushima United and 1.00 for Gainare Tottori.

What was the final score of Fukushima United vs Gainare Tottori?

Fukushima United 2-3 Gainare Tottori in the Japan - J3 League on 15/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Fukushima United vs Gainare Tottori?

Before kick-off our model rated a Fukushima United win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Fukushima United 42%, draw 26%, Gainare Tottori 32%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Fukushima United) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Fukushima United) ✓ BTTS Yes
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