Leon vs Cruz Azul Prediction — Model Probabilities
Leon v Cruz Azul — Team-Based Signals
Leon vs Cruz Azul Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Leon 1-2 Cruz Azul — Actual Match Statistics
Cruz Azul found just enough to beat Leon 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As we said in the preview, our model had Cruz Azul as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.
No strong lean on goals — the model had over 2.5 at 51% and both teams to score at 54%, coin-flips both.
Under the surface, Cruz Azul saw more of the ball, 58% to 42%, shots finished 9-22, expected goals 1.31 to 2.01.
The head-to-head backdrop: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Cruz Azul led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 0.50 a game for Leon against 1.33 for Cruz Azul.
Leon vs Cruz Azul Result & Final Score
Leon 1 - 2 Cruz Azul in the Mexico - Primera on 15/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Leon vs Cruz Azul Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated an Cruz Azul win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Leon 21%, draw 26%, Cruz Azul 53%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Cruz Azul), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.