Toluca 4-0 Tijuana — Maç Sonucu, İstatistikler ve Maç Analizi — Mexico - Primera, 15 Sep 2024

Toluca WDLWW→
4 - 0 HT 1 - 0
Tijuana LLWDW→
📅15/09/2024 · 🕒01:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 3-1 ✗
Mexico - Primera – 2024/2025

Toluca vs Tijuana Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off. · updated 23:44
Match Result
Home
70%
1.4
Draw
16%
4.67
Away
14%
5.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under
28%
2.71
OverVIEW
72%
1.41
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.56
No
41%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1
12%
6.83
2-3
37%
2.17
4-5
34%
2.48
6+
17%
4.96
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
47%
1/2
2%
1/X
4%
X/1
19%
X/2
5%
X/X
8%
2/1
4%
2/2
7%
2/X
4%
NO PICK no pattern fills on this match today.
VIEW our model view: the outcome it rates most likely. A forecast, not a pick.

Toluca v Tijuana — Team-Based Signals

SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME Toluca The Market 71%
Signal
AWAY Tijuana The Market 17%
Average Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Weak
2.55 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 0.93
0.91 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 2.37
Strong Attack Strength Weak
Strong Defense Strength Weak
55% Ball Possession 45%
16 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
401 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 300 · 79%
29 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15
14 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 2

Toluca vs Tijuana Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Toluca
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Tijuana
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.20 xG 0.95
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
406 Passes 297
82% Pass Accuracy 79%
26 Box Touches 18
15 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
25.02.2024 Toluca Toluca 2-0 HT 0-0 Tijuana Tijuana MEK
16.09.2023 Tijuana Tijuana 2-1 HT 2-0 Toluca Toluca MEK
18.03.2023 Tijuana Tijuana 3-3 HT 0-3 Toluca Toluca MEK
07.08.2022 Toluca Toluca 3-1 HT 1-1 Tijuana Tijuana MEK
02.03.2022 Toluca Toluca 1-2 HT 1-1 Tijuana Tijuana MEK
07.08.2021 Tijuana Tijuana 0-2 HT 0-1 Toluca Toluca MEK

Toluca 4-0 Tijuana — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Toluca
4 - 0
AWAY Tijuana
3.28 xG 0.92
52% Ball Possession 48%
22 Total Shots 9
9 Shots on Target 2
11 Corners 4
401 Passes 365
86% Pass Accuracy 85%
28 Box Touches 12
18 Crosses 12
1 Yellow Cards 1
REVIEW Toluca vs Tijuana
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Toluca swept aside Tijuana 4-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Toluca as the likeliest winner at 70%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. The goals card split: over 2.5 goals (72%) came in, both teams to score (59%) didn't.

By the numbers, Toluca had 52% of the ball to Tijuana's 48%, shots finished 22-9, expected goals 3.28 to 0.92.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Toluca had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Toluca and 1.33 for Tijuana.

Toluca vs Tijuana Result & Final Score

Toluca 4 - 0 Tijuana in the Mexico - Primera on 15/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Toluca vs Tijuana Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Toluca win the most likely single outcome at about 70%, with the full match-result split Toluca 70%, draw 16%, Tijuana 14%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Toluca), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Toluca) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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