Santos Laguna 0-2 Monterrey — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Mexico - Primera, 15 Sep 2024

📅15/09/2024 · 🕒06:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-3 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
21%
5.09
Draw
25%
4.08
Away
54%
1.52
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.15
Over 2.5
54%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.76
No
45%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
4.14
2-3 Goals
36%
1.86
4-5 Goals
28%
3.04
6+ Goals
12%
9.6
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
5%
1/2
9%
1/X
9%
X/1
11%
X/2
11%
X/X
13%
2/1
5%
2/2
33%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
21%
Home Win
17%
+4.1pp
25%
Draw
22%
+3.7pp
54%
Away Win
62%
-7.9pp
46%
Under 2.5
43%
+2.8pp
54%
Over 2.5
57%
-2.8pp
55%
BTTS Yes
53%
+2.5pp
45%
BTTS No
47%
-2.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Santos Laguna EU Bookmakers 20%
Head to Head
AWAY Monterrey EU Bookmakers 66%
+19% / +19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +12% / +12%
0.78/1.91 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.10/0.82
+5% / +70% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -3% / +48%
41% Ball Possession 59%
11 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
239 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 462 · 84%
12.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 26.6
14.2 Crosses 19.3
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Santos Laguna
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Monterrey
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
1.41 xG 1.31
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
296 Passes 349
78% Pass Accuracy 80%
22 Box Touches 18
15 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 3
22.01.2024 Santos Laguna Santos Laguna 0-2 HT 0-1 Monterrey Monterrey MEK
09.11.2023 Monterrey Monterrey 3-0 HT 1-0 Santos Laguna Santos Laguna MEK
14.05.2023 Monterrey Monterrey 2-0 HT 1-0 Santos Laguna Santos Laguna MEK
11.05.2023 Santos Laguna Santos Laguna 0-0 HT 0-0 Monterrey Monterrey MEK
17.04.2023 Monterrey Monterrey 1-2 HT 1-1 Santos Laguna Santos Laguna MEK
04.07.2022 Santos Laguna Santos Laguna 4-3 HT 2-2 Monterrey Monterrey MEK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Santos Laguna
0-2
AWAY Monterrey
1.68 xG 2.44
45% Ball Possession 55%
16 Total Shots 19
5 Shots on Target 8
9 Corners 5
282 Passes 360
80% Pass Accuracy 83%
12 Box Touches 28
18 Crosses 17
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Santos Laguna vs Monterrey
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Monterrey saw off Santos Laguna 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Monterrey as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — both teams to score (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Santos Laguna had 45% of the ball to Monterrey's 55%, shots finished 16-19, expected goals 1.68 to 2.44.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Monterrey led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Santos Laguna and 1.83 for Monterrey.

What was the final score of Santos Laguna vs Monterrey?

Santos Laguna 0-2 Monterrey in the Mexico - Primera on 15/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Santos Laguna vs Monterrey?

Before kick-off our model rated an Monterrey win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Santos Laguna 21%, draw 25%, Monterrey 54%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Monterrey) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Monterrey) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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